2014 FIBA Basketball World Cup Futures

With LeBron James and Carmelo Anthony both signed and the summer league behind us, the attention of the basketball world now awaits word on a potential Kevin Love trade. However, the international community may be more interested in another major basketball event — the 2014 FIBA Basketball World Cup.

Much like the FIFA World Cup for soccer, the FIBA World Cup takes place every four years with the winner earning an automatic qualification for the 2016 Summer Olympics in Brazil. Back in 2012, the United States defeated the host nation Turkey 81-65 in the finals with Oklahoma City Thunder forward Kevin Durant earning the MVP.

This year the tournament, which begins on August 30th, will be held in Spain. Although the United States are the clear-cut favorites, fans can expect Spain to provide stiff competition. The Spanish national team features a wealth of current and former NBA players including Marc and Pau Gasol, Ricky Rubio, Jose Calderon, Rudy Fernandez and Serge Ibaka.

Argentina was also expected to field a competitive team with the likes of Luis Scola, Carlos Delfino, Andres Nocioni and Manu Ginobili, however, Manu played with a slight stress fracture in his right leg during the NBA Finals and is expected to miss the FIBA World Cup.

Another interesting sleeper is France, which features current NBA players like Tony Parker, Boris Diaw and Nicolas Batum. Unfortunately, one player who will not be participating is reigning Defensive Player of the Year Joakim Noah. The 6’11″ forward/center was all set to play for France in the 2012 Olympics but had to withdraw due to ongoing problems with plantar fasciitis.

It was assumed that Noah would return to the team for the FIBA World Cup, but when asked about his participation Noah said, “I live my life day to day, and I feel like the NBA season is, it’s brutal. To play all year, I think it’s something that is too much for me. So definitely not this year.”

The United States team has not yet selected their 12-man roster, however, they currently have a pool of 18 players to select from. Although LeBron James, Carmelo Anthony and Chris Paul will not participate, some of the league’s top players (including Kevin Durant, Paul George, Anthony Davis and James Harden) are expected to make the team.

The table below displays the current World Cup odds at CRIS, Bovada and BetOnline along with the current public betting trends from CRIS. We will continue to monitor and update these odds as official rosters are submitted and additional sportsbooks post their odds. As always, we suggest that bettors shop for the best line before placing any wagers.

Country
CRIS (7/31)
Bovada (7/3)
BetOnline (7/8)
CRIS Betting %
USA -226 -350 -350 43.1%
Spain +265 +300 +350 13.9%
France +2856 +2500 +2500 3.1%
Brazil +3992 +3300 +2500 4.6%
Greece +4513 +2500 +2500 3.1%
Argentina +4533 +2800 +2500 10.8%
Field +6042 N/A N/A 1.5%
Serbia +6524 +5000 +5000 3.1%
Lithuania +7027 +4000 +2500 15.4%
Turkey +12478 +5000 +5000 1.5%
Slovenia N/A +15000 +10000 N/A
Puerto Rico N/A +20000 +40000 N/A
Australia N/A +25000 +25000 N/A
Angola N/A +50000 +100000 N/A
Finland N/A +50000 +50000 N/A
Iran N/A +50000 +25000 N/A
Ukraine N/A +50000 +50000 N/A
Croatia N/A +15000 +15000 N/A
Dominican Republic N/A +100000 +100000 N/A
Mexico N/A +100000 +100000 N/A
New Zealand N/A +100000 +100000 N/A
Philippines N/A +100000 +100000 N/A
Senegal N/A +100000 +100000 N/A
South Korea N/A +100000 +100000 N/A
Egypt N/A +200000 +200000 N/A

You can view each countries World Cup draw in the image below:

FIBA-world-cup-draw

In fact, Bovada has already posted Group odds for the 2014 FIBA World Cup and there are some fascinating takeaways. For starters, the United States is listed at 1/100 to win their Group! Yes, you read that right. A bettor who thinks the United States will win Group C would have to wager $100 just to win $1.

What’s fascinating is that when BetOnline posted their own FIBA World Cup Futures, the United States was listed at +1000 or 1/10 to win their group. This means that a bettor would only need to lay $10 to win $1. Considering the lack of competition in the Unites States group, I would imagine that this was an oversight by the book and that these odds will be adjusted shortly.

The rest of the group odds are listed below:

Group A Winner

Country
CRIS (7/31)
Bovada (7/3)
BetOnline (7/8)
CRIS Betting %
Spain -182 -225 -225 50.0%
France +445 +350 +350 35.0%
Brazil +625 +600 +600 10.0%
Field +845 N/A N/A 5.0%
Serbia N/A +650 +650 N/A
Iran N/A +20000 +20000 N/A
Eqypt N/A +20000 +20000 N/A

Group B Winner

Country
CRIS (7/31)
Bovada (7/3)
BetOnline (7/8)
CRIS Betting %
Argentina +158 +130 +120 57.1%
Greece +165 +130 +120 28.6%
Croatia +350 +300 +400 14.3%
Field +980 N/A N/A 0.0%
Puerto Rico N/A +900 +900 N/A
Philippines N/A +20000 +20000 N/A
Senegal N/A +20000 +20000 N/A

Group C Winner

Country
CRIS (7/31)
Bovada (7/3)
BetOnline (7/8)
CRIS Betting %
USA -1325 -10000 -1000 100%
Field +845 N/A N/A 0%
Turkey N/A +900 +900 N/A
Dominican Republic N/A +2500 +2500 N/A
Finland N/A +3300 +3300 N/A
Ukraine N/A +3300 +3300 N/A
New Zealand N/A +20000 +20000 N/A

Group D Winner

Country
CRIS (7/31)
Bovada (7/3)
BetOnline (7/8)
CRIS Betting %
Lithuania +102 -120 -120 28.6%
Slovenia +205 +175 +175 14.3%
Australia +325 +300 +300 50.0%
Field +4516 N/A N/A 7.1%
Angola N/A +3300 +2500 N/A
Mexico N/A +15000 +20000 N/A
South Korea N/A +20000 +20000 N/A

Do you think anybody can stop the United States this year? Are any nation’s being undervalued? Please leave your thoughts or comments in the section below.

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