Bettors Are All Over The Astros Tonight

Bettors Are All Over The Astros Tonight

Yesterday, Dallas Keuchel and the Astros were mightily upset by Derek Holland and the White Sox. They closed at -250, received 85% of moneyline bets, and 79% of moneyline dollars. Tonight, bettors are expecting them to redeem themselves.

The way it currently stands, the Astros are getting 89% of bets — which would be the highest this season if it holds up. So far, there have been two teams this year that have closed with 88% of bets, one with 87%, and two with 86%. They’ve gone a combined 2-3 for -1.9 units.

If we delve deeper and look at the breakdown at each of the seven sportsbooks that provide us with this information, we can see that the two sharpest books — Bookmaker and 5Dimes — are much more evenly split, while the squarer books are all over 90%.  Despite all of this public support, Houston has remained at it’s opening line at both Pinnacle (-205) and Bookmaker (-210).

This heavily lopsided action should come as somewhat expected, as bettors often believe that elite teams like the Astros can’t possibly lose two games in a row to the lowly White Sox.

Yesterday, we triggered a contrarian play on the White Sox at +230. This year, teams fitting our contrarian system are 115-116 (+30.1) units.

If you want access to all contrarian plays, as well as best bets (up 63.1 units), steam and reverse line moves, dollars percentages, and more, sign up for our pro membership.

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Mark Gallant

I’m the guy who does his job. You must be the other guy.

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