NFL Week 9: DFS Contrarian Value

Two weeks ago we published an article that examined how daily fantasy players could utilize contrarian strategies for tournament play. The basic idea was to highlight players that were not only being undervalued by DraftKings pricing, but were also owned in a very low percentage of leagues. One of the keys to success in larger…

NFL Game of the Week: Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts

In his return to Indy, Peyton Manning and the Broncos opened as 3-point road favorites at the market-setting Pinnacle sportsbook. At the time of publication, Denver was receiving 81% of spread bets at our seven contributing offshore sportsbooks. This overwhelming public support has pushed the line from -3 to -5. We also spoke with Michael…

2015 NFL Betting: Week 9 Line Moves That Matter

Every week in this space we highlight the most interesting line moves at the market-setting offshore sportsbooks — typically CRIS, Pinnacle and 5Dimes which take the highest limits and therefore attract the sharpest bettors. By contrasting the opening and current lines with the public betting trends from our seven contributing offshore sportsbooks, we’re able to…

2015 College Football: Week 10 Line Moves That Matter

Last week was highlighted by Miami’s ridiculous and improbable victory over Duke. The Hurricanes (closed +10 on the spread, +290 on the moneyline) eight-lateral game-winning kickoff return was reminiscent of “The Play” and helped give Miami the weekend’s biggest upset. Miami received just 35% of spread bets in this matchup, helping contribute to another profitable week…

Contrarian Value: Betting Against the Public in 2015

For years betting against the public has been one of the most basic, popular and profitable strategies used by Sports Insights. The logic is simple: whichever team the public is loading up on, simply bet the other team. The public loves to bet favorites and overs, so sportsbooks will shade their lines accordingly. Historically this had led to value…

NFL Week 9 Opening Line Report

We are now halfway through the NFL season, and a record four teams (CAR, CIN, DEN and NE) are still undefeated. In fact, there are currently just five AFC teams and six NFC teams with winning records which shows the drastic divide between the league’s best and worst teams. Last week there were a number of season…