2016 March Madness: Round of 64 Line Moves That Matter

Throughout the past NFL season, our weekly Line Moves That Matter articles would highlight the most interesting line moves at the market-setting offshore sportsbooks — typically CRIS and Pinnacle which take the highest limits and therefore attract the sharpest bettors. By contrasting the opening and current lines with the public betting trends from our seven contributing…

2016 March Madness: Sweet 16 Odds

Earlier this morning the market-setting Pinnacle sportsbook posted odds for several prominent teams to reach the Sweet 16. Although Kansas (+467) is the favorite to win it all, North Carolina actually has the best odds of advancing past this weekend. It was also interesting to see that despite being the 2-seed in the Midwest Region,…

2016 March Madness: Odds to Win Each Region

Earlier this morning, Bovada posted odds for every tournament team to win their region. Just a few hours later, the Las Vegas-based Westgate posted their own odds with several major discrepancies. The most obvious difference was that the favorite odds were much shorter and the lower-seeds were even bigger ‘dogs at the Westgate. There was…

2016 March Madness: NCAAB Futures Offering Value

Last month when we first released our bracket simulator, we identified several teams whose odds of winning the national championship were being undervalued. By combining information from our historical database along with data from well-respected basketball sources including ESPN, Ken Pomeroy and Jeff Sagarin, we were able to create our own title probabilities and check…