2017 MLB Home Run Leader Odds

Last season Baltimore Orioles right fielder Mark Trumbo slugged a career-high 47 home runs to the league. This was the second straight season in which a member of the Orioles took down the home run crown, following Chris Davis’ 47 home run performance during the 2015 campaign. Prior to the start of the season, Trumbo was listed at 40/1 to lead the league in home runs.

Although the upcoming MLB season won’t start until the beginning of April, the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook posted odds on the 2017 MLB home run leader over the weekend. Despite significant injury concerns, Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton (+800) is listed as the pre-season favorite for his third consecutive season.

The table below displays the most recent odds from the Westgate Superbook and will continue to be updated throughout the season.

Player Westgate (5/8) Westgate (2/21) Westgate (1/9)
Aaron JUDGE 5/1 100/1 80/1
Freddie FREEMAN 5/1 100/1 80/1
Giancarlo STANTON 7/1 8/1 8/1
Eric THAMES 7/1 200/1 100/1
FIELD 7/1 60/1 30/1
Khris DAVIS 8/1 60/1 80/1
Nolan ARENADO 12/1 10/1 15/1
Bryce HARPER 12/1 20/1 20/1
Kris BRYANT 18/1 8/1 20/1
Nelson CRUZ 20/1 20/1 30/1
Miguel SANO 20/1 25/1 20/1
Manny MACHADO 25/1 20/1 15/1
Mike TROUT 30/1 20/1 20/1
Adam DUVALL 40/1 100/1 60/1
Joey GALLO 40/1 100/1 80/1
Chris DAVIS 60/1 8/1 15/1
Edwin ENCARNACION 60/1 8/1 40/1
Jay BRUCE 60/1 200/1 100/1
Joey VOTTO 60/1 200/1 100/1
Mark TRUMBO 80/1 8/1 30/1
Kyle SCHWARBER 80/1 25/1 20/1
Anthony RIZZO 80/1 60/1 40/1
Josh DONALDSON 100/1 25/1 20/1
Miguel CABRERA 100/1 50/1 40/1
Todd FRAZIER 100/1 60/1 40/1
George SPRINGER 100/1 80/1 40/1
Paul GOLDSCHMIDT 100/1 80/1 40/1
Ryan BRAUN 100/1 100/1 100/1
Marcell OZUNA 100/1 200/1 100/1
Matt KEMP 100/1 200/1 100/1
Trevor STORY 200/1 60/1 40/1
Will MYERS 200/1 100/1 100/1
Kendrys MORALES 200/1 200/1 100/1
Jose BAUTISTA 300/1 60/1 60/1
Carlos GONZALEZ 300/1 80/1 60/1
Mookie BETTS 300/1 80/1 60/1
Brian DOZIER 300/1 80/1 80/1
Yoenis CESPEDES 300/1 100/1 60/1
Justin UPTON 300/1 100/1 60/1
Chris CARTER 300/1 100/1 80/1
Evan LONGORIA 300/1 100/1 80/1
Carlos CORREA 300/1 100/1 80/1
Corey SEAGER 300/1 100/1 80/1
Albert PUJOLS 300/1 100/1 100/1
Adam JONES 300/1 100/1 100/1
Carlos SANTANA 300/1 100/1 100/1
Robinson CANO 300/1 100/1 100/1
Maikel FRANCO 300/1 200/1 100/1
Charlie BLACKMON 300/1 100/1 100/1
Matt HOLLIDAY 300/1 200/1 100/1
Eugenio SUAREZ 300/1 200/1 100/1
Yasmany TOMAS 300/1 200/1 100/1
J.D. MARTINEZ 500/1 80/1 60/1
Jose ABREU 500/1 80/1 60/1
Rougned ODOR 500/1 100/1 50/1
Hanley RAMIREZ 500/1 100/1 100/1
Gary SANCHEZ 500/1 100/1 100/1
Addison RUSSELL 500/1 100/1 100/1
Mike NAPOLI 500/1 100/1 100/1
Tommy JOSEPH 500/1 200/1 100/1
Joc PEDERSON 500/1 200/1 100/1
Andrew McCUTCHEN 500/1 200/1 100/1
Kyle SEAGER 500/1 200/1 100/1
Corey DICKERSON 500/1 200/1 100/1
Yasiel PUIG 500/1 200/1 100/1
Justin TURNER 500/1 200/1 100/1
Nomar MAZARA 500/1 200/1 100/1
Stephen PISCOTTY 500/1 200/1 100/1
Xander BOGAERTS 500/1 200/1 100/1
Mitch MORELAND 500/1 200/1 100/1
Evan GATTIS 500/1 200/1 200/1
Nick CASTELLANOS 500/1 200/1 200/1
Ian KINSLER 500/1 200/1 200/1
Troy TULOWITZKI 1000/1 100/1 100/1
Lucas DUDA 1000/1 200/1 100/1
Ian DESMOND 1000/1 200/1 80/1
Eric HOSMER 1000/1 200/1 100/1
Adrian GONZALEZ 1000/1 200/1 100/1
Justin BOUR 1000/1 200/1 100/1
Jorge SOLER 1000/1 200/1 100/1
David DAHL 1000/1 200/1 100/1
Buster POSEY 1000/1 200/1 100/1
Brad MILLER 1000/1 200/1 100/1
Adrian BELTRE 2000/1 100/1 80/1

(The following was written on January 9th)

There’s no questioning Stanton’s raw power, but the 27-year old slugger has been plagued by injuries. Stanton missed 88 games due to a wrist injury in 2015 and 43 games due to a groin injury in 2016. Stanton signed a 13-year, $325 million contract back in 2014, so it wouldn’t be surprised to see the Marlins give their slugger frequent rest to ensure he’s healthy for the duration of the deal. For that reason, it would be wise to focus on a few players with longer odds.

Nelson Cruz has slugged at least 40 home runs in each of the past three seasons, which makes him an intriguing option at 30/1. Khris Davis, who smashed 42 home runs for the Oakland Athletics last season, seems mispriced at 80/1. Heck, Mark Trumbo seems like a solid bet to repeat as the home run champ considering his 30/1 odds.

The 2017 MLB season begins on April 2, but Spring Training will be starting up in late February. Make sure to bookmark our free MLB odds for the latest odds, betting trends, injuries, futures and more.

Which players do you think are offering value? Are any players being undervalued? Please leave your thoughts and comment in the section below.

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David Solar

David Solar is the Content Manager at Sports Insights. He specializes in sports betting analytics and creating data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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