2016-17 NBA Betting: Which Head Coach Will Be Fired First?

Exactly one week after the NBA season opened, Bovada posted odds on which NBA head coach will be fired first. Last year, Kevin McHale was the first head coach fired. The Houston Rockets quickly dismissed McHale after a 4-7 start, so it is conceivable that a team parts ways with their coach soon even though the season just started.

Although his team is 3-0 thus far, Chicago Bulls head coach Fred Hoiberg is the favorite (+200) to be the the next coach fired.

Below are the odds for who will be the first NBA coach fired as they appear on Bovada.

Coach Odds (11/3) Odds (11/1)
Fred Hoiberg +225 +200
Alvin Gentry +225 +225
Brett Brown +300 +300
Quin Snyder +600 +600
Jason Kidd +700 +700
Dwane Casey +2000 +2000
Earl Watson +2500 N/A
Steve Kerr +3000 N/A

In 2015-16, Hoiberg’s first year with the team, Chicago finished 42-40 and missed the playoffs for the first time since the 2007-08 season. This summer the Bulls completely overhauled their roster. They acquired Dwyane Wade, Rajon Rondo, and Brook Lopez, while moving on from Derrick Rose, Joakim Noah, and Pau Gasol.

The team constructed a roster that contradicts the NBA’s “pace and space” style, which is built off having superior 3-point shooting and versatile defenders. Hoiberg’s Bulls might have gotten out to a hot start, but it’s possible there’ll be some regression to the mean, especially when teams make adjustments and Wade’s suddenly apparent 3-point stroke cools off.

Personally, I believe there is value on taking New Orleans’ Alvin Gentry at +225. Expectations were high for the Pelicans last year. Coming off a playoff berth, the team expected to build off of that success. Unfortunately, a litany of injuries—including to franchise player big man Anthony Davis—crushed their postseason hopes, so perhaps it’s fair to give Gentry a pass.

However, he could find himself on the hot seat if the club continues to perform poorly. The Pelicans will be without their starting backcourt for an extended period of time: Jrue Holiday is spending time with his wife, who underwent surgery to remove a brain tumor and Tyreke Evans is rehabbing from knee surgery. The Pelicans will be tested without Holiday and Evans. If New Orleans find itself in a similar hole like last year’s 1-11 start, Gentry might be out of a job.

Who you think will be the first coach fired? Please leave your thoughts in the comments section below?

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Andrew Fine

Andrew is a Sports Betting Specialist for Sports Insights. He can be reached at andrew@sportsinsights.com.

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