2014 MLB Home Run Derby Odds

2014 MLB Home Run Derby Odds

The 2014 Home Run Derby will take place this year on Monday July 14th at Target Field in Minnesota. For the third straight season, two captains (one from each league) were allowed to select their own teammates and this season that honor belonged to Colorado’s Troy Tulowitzki and Toronto’s Jose Bautista.

Bautista selected reigning champ Yoenis Cespedes along with Adam Jones, Josh Donaldson and hometown favorite Brian Dozer. Tulowitzki selected Todd Frazier, Yasiel Puig, Justin Morneau and Giancarlo Stanton — who will finally make his Home Run Derby debut

Last season Baltimore’s Chris Davis was the favorite to win the Home Run Derby, but the Orioles masher failed to advance past Round 2. Cespedes, who closed at +500, narrowly beat out Bryce Harper in the finals after posting an absurd 1st Round in which he launched 17 long balls.

The table below displays the closing lines for the 2013 Home Run Derby from 5Dimes.

PlayerTeamOddsTotal HR
Chris DavisBaltimore Orioles+30012
Prince FielderDetroit Tigers+4005
Yoenis CespedesOakland Athletics+50032
Pedro AlvarezPittsburgh Pirates+5006
Robinson CanoNew York Yankees+6004
Bryce HarperWashington Nationals+70024
David WrightNew York Mets+12005
Michael CuddyerColorado Rockies+150015

Giancarlo Stanton leads this year’s crop of players with a National League best 21 home runs and, according to ESPN’s Home Run Tracker, leads baseball with an average home run distance of 423.8 feet. Perhaps that explains why he is considered by many to be the favorite to win the 2014 Derby.

Earlier in the week, BetOnline released early odds for three of the contestants:

Of these three players, Stanton has the best odds of winning the Derby at +350. These odds are quite similar to those of Chris Davis last season which leads me to believe that Stanton will be the favorite when books release odds for all ten participants.

On Friday morning once the field was set, Giancarlo Stanton was in fact the favorite to win at +200. The table below displays the the current home run total for each of the contestants along with their odds to win the HR Derby at the Greek, BetOnline, Bovada and Sportsbook.com. Once again, we recommend that all bettors shop for the best line before placing a wager.

PlayerTeamGreek (7/12)BetOnline (7/11)Bovada (7/11)Sportsbook.com (7/11)2014 Home Runs
Giancarlo StantonMiami Marlins+150+240+200+25021
Yoenis CespedesOakland Athletics+350+450+500+50014
Jose BautistaToronto Blue Jays+500+500+500+50017
Yasiel PuigLos Angeles Dodgers+500+600+600+45012
Troy TulowitzkiColorado Rockies+500+600+650+65020
Josh DonaldsonOakland Athletics+1000+850+1000+100020
Todd FrazierCincinnati Reds+1000+1200+1200+120017
Brian DozierMinnesota Twins+1000+1200+1200+120016
Adam JonesBaltimore Orioles+1000+1000+1200+120016
Justin MorneauColorado Rockies+1200+1400+1500+150013

All season long Sportsbook.com has posted odds for which player will lead baseball in home runs, and it’s interesting to note that the two best odds belong to Chicago’s Jose Abreu and Baltimore’s Nelson Cruz who are both currently listed at -120. Although neither of these players will take part in the 2014 Home Run Derby, three of this year’s participants are listed in the ten man field.

PlayerTeamOdds2014 Home Runs (7/11)
Jose AbreuChicago White Sox-12028
Nelson CruzBaltimore Orioles-12028
Troy TulowitzkiColorado Rockies+40020
Giancarlo StantonMiami Marlins+40021
Edwin EncarnacionToronto Blue Jays+60026
Albert PujolsLos Angeles Angels+60020
Paul GoldschmidtArizona Diamondbacks+300016
Jose BautistaToronto Blue Jays+300017
Miguel CabreraDetroit Tigers+500014
Chris DavisBaltimore Orioles+500014

Who do you like in this year’s Home Run Derby? Does Cespedes have a chance to repeat? Please leave your picks and opinions in the comment section below.

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David Solar

David was the Content Manager at Sports Insights. He has since moved on to greener pastures.

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