The 2014 Home Run Derby will take place this year on Monday July 14th at Target Field in Minnesota. For the third straight season, two captains (one from each league) were allowed to select their own teammates and this season that honor belonged to Colorado’s Troy Tulowitzki and Toronto’s Jose Bautista.
Bautista selected reigning champ Yoenis Cespedes along with Adam Jones, Josh Donaldson and hometown favorite Brian Dozer. Tulowitzki selected Todd Frazier, Yasiel Puig, Justin Morneau and Giancarlo Stanton — who will finally make his Home Run Derby debut
Last season Baltimore’s Chris Davis was the favorite to win the Home Run Derby, but the Orioles masher failed to advance past Round 2. Cespedes, who closed at +500, narrowly beat out Bryce Harper in the finals after posting an absurd 1st Round in which he launched 17 long balls.
The table below displays the closing lines for the 2013 Home Run Derby from 5Dimes.
|Chris Davis||Baltimore Orioles||+300||12|
|Prince Fielder||Detroit Tigers||+400||5|
|Yoenis Cespedes||Oakland Athletics||+500||32|
|Pedro Alvarez||Pittsburgh Pirates||+500||6|
|Robinson Cano||New York Yankees||+600||4|
|Bryce Harper||Washington Nationals||+700||24|
|David Wright||New York Mets||+1200||5|
|Michael Cuddyer||Colorado Rockies||+1500||15|
Giancarlo Stanton leads this year’s crop of players with a National League best 21 home runs and, according to ESPN’s Home Run Tracker, leads baseball with an average home run distance of 423.8 feet. Perhaps that explains why he is considered by many to be the favorite to win the 2014 Derby.
Earlier in the week, BetOnline released early odds for three of the contestants:
Odds to Win Home Run Derby (via BetOnline) Stanton “Yes” +350 | “No” -500 Bautista “Yes” +500 | “No” -800 Tulowitzki “Yes” +425 | “No” -650
— SportsInsights.com (@SportsInsights) July 10, 2014
Of these three players, Stanton has the best odds of winning the Derby at +350. These odds are quite similar to those of Chris Davis last season which leads me to believe that Stanton will be the favorite when books release odds for all ten participants.
On Friday morning once the field was set, Giancarlo Stanton was in fact the favorite to win at +200. The table below displays the the current home run total for each of the contestants along with their odds to win the HR Derby at the Greek, BetOnline, Bovada and Sportsbook.com. Once again, we recommend that all bettors shop for the best line before placing a wager.
|Player||Team||Greek (7/12)||BetOnline (7/11)||Bovada (7/11)||Sportsbook.com (7/11)||2014 Home Runs|
|Giancarlo Stanton||Miami Marlins||+150||+240||+200||+250||21|
|Yoenis Cespedes||Oakland Athletics||+350||+450||+500||+500||14|
|Jose Bautista||Toronto Blue Jays||+500||+500||+500||+500||17|
|Yasiel Puig||Los Angeles Dodgers||+500||+600||+600||+450||12|
|Troy Tulowitzki||Colorado Rockies||+500||+600||+650||+650||20|
|Josh Donaldson||Oakland Athletics||+1000||+850||+1000||+1000||20|
|Todd Frazier||Cincinnati Reds||+1000||+1200||+1200||+1200||17|
|Brian Dozier||Minnesota Twins||+1000||+1200||+1200||+1200||16|
|Adam Jones||Baltimore Orioles||+1000||+1000||+1200||+1200||16|
|Justin Morneau||Colorado Rockies||+1200||+1400||+1500||+1500||13|
All season long Sportsbook.com has posted odds for which player will lead baseball in home runs, and it’s interesting to note that the two best odds belong to Chicago’s Jose Abreu and Baltimore’s Nelson Cruz who are both currently listed at -120. Although neither of these players will take part in the 2014 Home Run Derby, three of this year’s participants are listed in the ten man field.
|Player||Team||Odds||2014 Home Runs (7/11)|
|Jose Abreu||Chicago White Sox||-120||28|
|Nelson Cruz||Baltimore Orioles||-120||28|
|Troy Tulowitzki||Colorado Rockies||+400||20|
|Giancarlo Stanton||Miami Marlins||+400||21|
|Edwin Encarnacion||Toronto Blue Jays||+600||26|
|Albert Pujols||Los Angeles Angels||+600||20|
|Paul Goldschmidt||Arizona Diamondbacks||+3000||16|
|Jose Bautista||Toronto Blue Jays||+3000||17|
|Miguel Cabrera||Detroit Tigers||+5000||14|
|Chris Davis||Baltimore Orioles||+5000||14|
Who do you like in this year’s Home Run Derby? Does Cespedes have a chance to repeat? Please leave your picks and opinions in the comment section below.