2014 Belmont Stakes Odds

With an impressive late push, California Chrome was able to win the 139th running of the Preakness Stakes and move one step closer to winning the Triple Crown. Although there have been 11 past Triple Crown winners, no horse has accomplished the feat since Affirmed back in 1978. That said, there have been a number of horses who have won the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness only to fail at the Belmont, including five horses since the start of the millennium: I’ll Have Another (2012), Big Brown (2008), Smarty Jones (2004), Funny Cide (2003) and War Emblem (2002).

Over the last couple weeks there had been controversy surrounding whether California Chrome will race due to a New York law banning nasal strips while competing. Despite these concerns and amid word that NY officials have altered their ruling to allow the nasal strips, CRIS has set odds that suggest California Chrome will at least run for a chance at the coveted Triple Crown.

Note: Back on May 18th, California Chrome was a -705 favorite to run in the Belmont Stakes. On May 21st, it was up to -1685 and is now off the board entirely.

Belmont Stakes Prop


California Chrome is the runaway favorite to win the Belmont Stakes and ultimately the Triple Crown, meaning there’s a good chance history could be made on Saturday, June 7th. The table below displays the current odds at Sportsbook.com and CRIS and the percentage of bets on each horse from CRIS.

Horse Sportsbook (5/18) Sportsbook (6/7) CRIS (5/18) CRIS (6/7) % of bets (CRIS 6/7)
California Chrome -130 -115 +125 +105 21.5%
Wicked Strong +1000 +700 +619 +605 12.8%
Ride on Curlin +1200 +900 +1482 +845 10.9%
Tonalist +1000 +900 +1051 +1215 11.3%
Commanding Curve +800 +900 +1015 +1015 8.4%
Medal Count N/A +2000 N/A +1415 5.4%
Commissioner +2000 +3200 +3593 +2250 5.7%
Samraat +2000 +2600 +1701 +2250 6.1%
General A Rod N/A +3000 N/A +2550 4.5%
Matterhorn N/A +5000 N/A +5250 5.5%
Matuszak N/A +5000 N/A +5250 8.1%
Candy Boy +1500 N/A +3604 N/A N/A
Intense Holiday +2000 N/A +1923 N/A N/A
Social Inclusion +1200 N/A +2414 N/A N/A
Kid Cruz +2000 N/A +2531 N/A N/A
Danza +800 N/A +655 N/A N/A

You’ll notice that a few horses such as Danza, Candy Boy, Kid Cruz, and Intense Holiday have all been scratched from the race, and Matuszak, Matterhorn, Medal Count, and General A Rod have been added in their place.

At the time of publication, more than one in every five future bets is taking California Chrome to win the Belmont Stakes but underdogs such as Tonalist and Wicked Strong are getting more public attention in terms of bets.

For those who want to simplify the race, bettors can also choose to take California Chrome against the field. Sportsbook currently lists California Chrome (-120) vs. the field (-110) while CRIS is offering better odds on California Chrome (-115) vs. the field (-115). There’s also a number of different props around the race, courtesy of Bovada:

cali chrome props

Will this finally be the year of a Triple Crown winner, or will another horse get in the way yet again?

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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