06
September
College Football Opening Line Report – Week 2
09/06/2011
Every Tuesday, we take a look at the early line movement and college football betting trends for the 15 most heavily bet games, in terms of the number of total bets.
| Team | Betting % | Current | Open | Notes |
| Stanford | 88% | -21 | -18 | After Duke lost to FCS Richmond last week, it’s no surprise to see public taking Stanford and Heisman hopeful Andrew Luck. |
| Duke | 12% | 21 | 18 | |
| Oregon State | 11% | 21 | 17.5 | Almost 9 of 10 spread bets have taken Wisconsin after Badgers blow out of UNLV and Oregon State’s loss to FCS Sacramento State. |
| Wisconsin | 89% | -21 | -17.5 | |
| Nevada | 18% | 26.5 | 24.5 | Colin Kaepernick is gone and so is confidence in Nevada from the betting public. |
| Oregon | 82% | -26.5 | -24.5 | |
| Notre Dame | 22% | -3.5 | -3.5 | After an ugly loss to South Florida, public has no interest in laying points with Notre Dame on the road. |
| Michigan | 78% | 3.5 | 3.5 | |
| Alabama | 81% | -9.5 | -10 | Early Steam Move pushed line from 10 to 9.5, causing the reverse-line movement. |
| Penn State | 19% | 9.5 | 10 | |
| South Carolina | 82% | -3 (-105) | -2.5 | Public is buying South Carolina’s strong second half against ECU and wary about Georgia after nationally televised loss to Boise State. |
| Georgia | 18% | 3 (-115) | 2.5 | |
| Mississippi State | 73% | -7 (-105) | -6 | Auburn needed a furious rally to top Utah State, causing public to jump on Mississippi State and push line from 6 to 7. |
| Auburn | 27% | 7 (-115) | 6 | |
| Toledo | 18% | 19 | 20 | Early betting has dropped the line one point despite the lopsided betting percentages. |
| Ohio State | 82% | -19 | -20 | |
| TCU | 84% | -2 | -2.5 | Despite losing to Baylor, TCU is currently getting over 80% of spread bets. |
| Air Force | 16% | 2 | 2.5 | |
| No Illinois | 72% | -6.5 | -5.5 | No Illinois lit up Army last week and public betting has pushed them from -5.5 to -6.5. |
| Kansas | 28% | 6.5 | 5.5 | |
| Iowa | 81% | -7 (+100) | -7 | The point spread hasn’t moved, but the vig has been adjusted in opposite direction of the current betting trends. |
| Iowa State | 19% | 7 (-120) | 7 | |
| Rutgers | 33% | 10.5 | 9.5 | No College Football Betting System plays triggered yet, so line movement is strictly due to influx of public money taking North Carolina. |
| North Carolina | 67% | -10.5 | -9.5 | |
| Tulsa | 73% | -13.5 | -14.5 | Tulsa got pounded by Oklahoma and is now getting pounded by betting public. However, line has dropped one point despite the betting trends data. |
| Tulane | 27% | 13.5 | 14.5 | |
| New Mexico | 32% | 36 | 35 | Arkansas opened as a 5 touchdown favorite and has gotten enough action to move to -36. |
| Arkansas | 68% | -36 | -35 | |
| BYU | 29% | 7 | 7 (-120) | Public not buying BYU after comeback road-win against Mississippi last week. |
| Texas | 71% | -7 | -7 (+100) |
* Betting Percentages reflect Sports Insights’ Spread Betting Trends Data
** Opening and Current Lines from 5Dimes
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