NHL Marketwatch Edition 22 2011-12

Daniel Fabrizio

Welcome to the 2011-12 edition of NHL Sports Marketwatch, where the team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the sports marketplace.

Overall Record= 14-7, +12.27 units

Hockey can be a very profitable sport to bet on when you base it off moneyline odds, especially when betting underdogs. The plus odds are a reason that NHL moneyline dogs can show value over time. Most people like to win and therefore overvalue winning teams. Our selections on moneyline underdogs will normally win less than 50%, but the plus odds payoff makes it a profitable investment.

Recapping Last Week  

Last week’s NHL Marketwatch “Game to Watch” selection, the Columbus Blue Jackets, posted a big 3-2 home victory over the heavily favored Phoenix Coyotes.

Led by goaltender Steve Mason (38 saves), the Blue Jackets picked up goals from Jack Johnson, R.J. Umberger and Derek MacKenzie to earn their first three-game winning streak of the season.

Click here to view last week’s article

With the win, NHL Marketwatch notches its second consecutive victory to improve to 14-7 (+12.27 units) on the season.

Carolina Hurricanes +160 over New York Rangers

With the 2011-12 NHL regular season inching toward postseason play, the Carolina Hurricanes (26-28-15, 67 points) travel to Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Rangers (43-18-7, 93 points), with the puck being dropped at 7:30 PM ET.

While the Rangers have all but wrapped up the number one seed in the Eastern Conference, the Hurricanes find themselves on the outside looking in and fighting for their playoff lives.

Offensively, Carolina is led by franchise cornerstone Eric Staal (19-40-59), phenom Jeff Skinner (19-20-39) and play-making wingers Jussi Jokinen (10-27-37) and Tuomo Ruutu (17-13-30).

In turn, despite his average numbers, Cam Ward (24-20-12, 2.80 GAA, .912 SV %) remains the Hurricanes’ defensive backbone and overall workhouse. Thus far, Ward has appeared in an astounding 58 of the team’s 69 total games.

Also important to note is that leading Vezina trophy candidate Henrik Lundqvist (rest) is expected to miss this game for the Rangers, along with captain Ryan Callahan (foot) and top-4 defenseman Michael Del Zotto (hip).

Be sure to check in with our NHL Injury Page as we closely monitor the status of these key injured players leading up to the puck drop.

According to Sports Insights’ NHL Betting Trends, Carolina opened at +185 (Pinnacle) and is currently receiving just 28% of moneyline wagers.

The public betting chart below, which is available on our Live Odds 3.0 page, shows a breakdown of moneyline action on this game from our six contributing sportsbooks.

Teams Market

BetUS Carib
5Dimes SIA



N/AN/A 40%



Despite the lopsided betting in favor of New York, the moneyline has actually dropped to Carolina +160 (Pinnacle). This Reverse Line Movement indicates that sharp money is coming in on the road dog Hurricanes.

Further strengthening our selection, we have also triggered a notable Steam Move on Carolina +182 by BetOnline (56-52, 51%, +2.92 units) as well as a hugely profitable Smart Money move on Carolina +165 by Cris (41-42, 49%, +7.95 units), which
currently ranks as the top performing book in terms of its respective NHL Betting System.

The line history graph below, which is available to all Premium and All-Pro Combo members, shows how the moneyline
betting trends
and betting system plays have affected line movement for this game at Pinnacle.

Currently, Pinnacle has the most profitable moneyline for Carolina (+160), however, remember to

Shop for the Best Line
before placing your bet as this could change before the puck drops.

We are fading the home favorite Rangers and going with the underdog Hurricanes to pick up the big road victory and keep NHL Marketwatch on the winning track.

Games to Watch (14-7, +12.27 units)

Carolina +160 (Pinnacle)

Enjoy the game!