NHL Marketwatch Edition 21 2011-12

Daniel Fabrizio

Welcome to the 2011-12 edition of NHL Sports Marketwatch, where the team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the sports marketplace.

Overall Record= 13-7, +11.06 units

Hockey can be a very profitable sport to bet on when you base it off moneyline odds, especially when betting underdogs. The plus odds are a reason that NHL moneyline dogs can show value over time. Most people like to win and therefore overvalue winning teams. Our selections on moneyline underdogs will normally win less than 50%, but the plus odds payoff makes it a profitable investment.

Recapping Last Week  

Last week’s NHL Marketwatch “Game to Watch” selection, the Edmonton Oilers, picked up a huge 5-3 road victory over the heavily favored Winnipeg Jets.

Trailing  2-1 entering the third period, Edmonton exploded for four goals in the final frame to sink the surging Jets. Taylor Hall and Lennart Petrell both finished with a goal and an assist while Devan Dubnyk stopped 29 of the 32 shots he faced to pace the victory.

Click here to view last week’s article

With the win, NHL Marketwatch improves to 13-7 (+11.06 units) on the season.

Columbus Blue Jackets +121 over Phoenix Coyotes

With the 2011-12 NHL regular season entering the final month of play, the Columbus Blue Jackets (20-38-7, 47 points) play host to the Phoenix Coyotes (33-24-9, 75 points), with the puck being dropped at 7:00 PM ET at Nationwide Arena.

Despite having registered the fewest total points in the NHL this season, the Blue Jackets are currently riding a two-game winning streak and have gone a respectable 4-5-1 over their past ten games.

Offensively, Columbus is led by franchise cornerstone Rick Nash (24-23-47), veteran winger Vaclav Prospal (11-30-41) and newly acquired defenseman Jack Johnson (8-17-25).

In addition, while Curtis Sanford (10-15-4, 2.66 GAA, .911 SV%) has put up the better numbers, veteran Steve Mason (10-22-3, 3.34, .891) has re-assumed the number one role between the pipes and led Columbus to two straight victories for the first time in over a month.

According to Sports Insights’ NHL Betting Trends, Columbus opened at +142 (Pinnacle) and is currently receiving just 42% of moneyline wagers.

The public betting chart below, which is available on our Live Odds 3.0 page, shows a breakdown of moneyline action on this game from our six contributing sportsbooks.

Despite the relatively lopsided betting in favor of Phoenix, the moneyline has dropped all the way to Columbus +121 (Pinnacle). This Reverse Line Movement indicates that sharp money is coming in on the underdog Blue Jackets.

Further strengthening our selection, we have also triggered a hugely profitable Steam Move on Columbus +140 by Cris (163-127, 56%, +27.20 units), which is currently by far and away the number one book in terms of its respective NHL Betting System.

The line history graph below, which is available to all Premium and All-Pro Combo members, shows how the moneyline
betting trends
and betting system plays have affected line movement for this game at Pinnacle.

Currently, Pinnacle has the most profitable moneyline for Columbus (+121), however, remember to Shop for the Best Line before placing your bet as this could change before the puck drops.

We are fading the road favorite Coyotes and going with the underdog Blue Jackets to pick up the big home victory and keep NHL Marketwatch on the winning track.

Games to Watch (13-7, +11.06 units)

Columbus +121 (Pinnacle)

Enjoy the games!