NHL Marketwatch Edition 20 2011-12

Daniel Fabrizio

Welcome to the 2011-12 edition of NHL Sports Marketwatch, where the team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the sports marketplace.

Overall Record= 12-7, +9.66 units

Hockey can be a very profitable sport to bet on when you base it off moneyline odds, especially when betting underdogs. The plus odds are a reason that NHL moneyline dogs can show value over time. Most people like to win and therefore overvalue winning teams. Our selections on moneyline underdogs will normally win less than 50%, but the plus odds payoff makes it a profitable investment.

Recapping Last Week  

Last week’s NHL Marketwatch “Game to Watch” selection, the Detroit Red Wings, fell on the road to the hated Chicago Blackhawks by a final score of 2-1.

Spoiling a stellar effort in goal by the Wings’ Jimmy Howard (29 saves), ‘Hawks center Marcus Kruger scored the game-winner early in the third period to snap Detroit’s six-game winning streak and lift Chicago to the big home victory.

Click here to view last week’s article

With the loss, NHL Marketwatch drops to 12-7 (+9.66 units) on the season.

Edmonton Oilers +140 over Winnipeg Jets

With the 2011-12 NHL campaign entering the playoff push, the Edmonton Oilers (24-31-6, 54 points) make their first trip to Manitoba since 1995 to take on the Winnipeg Jets (30-26-8, 68 points), with the puck being dropped at 8:30 PM ET at the MTS

Despite owning the 2nd-worst record in the NHL, the Oilers have improved their play of late, posting a respectable 5-5-1 record thus far in the month of February.

Led by rising offensive stars such as Jordan Eberle (27-33-60), former #1 overall pick Taylor Hall (22-24-46) and Sam Gagner (14-26-40), the Oilers have quietly become one of the most dynamic offensive clubs in the NHL.

Currently, Edmonton ranks in the top half of the league in terms of goals-per-game (2.6) while also owning the 4th best power play unit (21.2 %).

In turn, while back-up Devan Dubnyk (12-15-1, 2.88 GAA, .908 SV %) has played well after taking over full-time between the pipes, the Oilers expect injured starter Nikolai Khabibulin (12-16-5, 2.60 GAA, .914 SV %) to make his return from a groin injury tonight, which bodes well for Edmonton defensively.

Be sure to check in with our NHL Injury Page as we monitor the status of Khabibulin leading up to the puck-drop.

According to Sports Insights’ NHL Betting Trends, Edmonton opened at +141 (Pinnacle) and is currently receiving just 33% of moneyline wagers.

The public betting chart below, which is available on our Live Odds 3.0 page, shows a breakdown of moneyline action on this game from our six contributing sportsbooks.

Despite the continued hammering of home favorite Winnipeg, the moneyline has been holding relatively steady at Edmonton +140 (Pinnacle).

Further strengthening our selection, we have also triggered a hugely profitable Steam Move on Edmonton +140 by Cris [Cigar] (154-118, 56%, +25.12 units), which is currently by far and away the number one book in terms of its respective NHL Betting System.

The line history graph below, which is available to all Premium and All-Pro Combo members, shows how the moneyline betting trends and betting system plays have affected line movement for this game at Pinnacle.

Currently, Pinnacle and Matchbook have the most profitable moneyline for Edmonton (+140), however, remember to Shop for the Best Line before placing your bet as this could change before the puck drops.

We are fading the home favorite Jets and going with the underdog Oilers to pick up the big road victory and get NHL Marketwatch back on the winning track.

Games to Watch (12-7, +9.66 units)

Edmonton +140 (Pinnacle)

Enjoy the games!