NHL Marketwatch Edition 19 2011-12

Daniel Fabrizio

Welcome to the 2011-12 edition of NHL Sports Marketwatch, where the team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the sports marketplace.

Overall Record= 12-6, +10.66 units

Hockey can be a very profitable sport to bet on when you base it off moneyline odds, especially when betting underdogs. The plus odds are a reason that NHL moneyline dogs can show value over time. Most people like to win and therefore overvalue winning teams. Our selections on moneyline underdogs will normally win less than 50%, but the plus odds payoff makes it a profitable investment.

Recapping Last Week  

Last week’s NHL Marketwatch “Game to Watch” selection, the Carolina Hurricanes, picked up a huge 5-3 road victory over the heavily favored Montreal Canadiens. Trailing 3-2 entering the third period, the ‘Canes scored three unanswered goals in the final stanza to secure the improbable come-from-behind win.

Click here to view last week’s article

With the victory, NHL Marketwatch improves to 12-6 (+10.66 units) on the season.

Detroit Red Wings +100 over Chicago Blackhawks

With the 2011-12 NHL season entering the final stretch run, the Detroit Red Wings (41-17-2, 84 points) travel to the United Center to face the Chicago Blackhawks (32-21-7, 71 points), with the puck being dropped at 8:00 PM ET.

Despite Pavel Datsyuk (16-43-59) expected to miss the next two weeks with a knee injury, the Red Wings boast one of the deepest and most balanced offensive attacks in the NHL.

Led by Johan Franzen (23-24-47), Henrik Zetterberg (13-33-46) and Valtteri Filppula (16-29-45), Detroit enters this Original 6 showdown with 11 different players having scored at least eight goals.

Meanwhile, due in large part to the disciplined back-checking, layered defensive approach implemented under head coach Mike Babcock, the Wings are once again one of the stingiest defensive teams in the league as well, allowing just 2.3 goals per game (5th best in the NHL).

Central to the Wings’ defensive dominance has been the stellar play of goaltender Jimmy Howard (32-11-1, 2.03 GAA, .924 SV%), who is expected to return to the starting lineup tonight after missing the previous five games with a broken finger.

According to Sports Insights’ NHL Betting Trends, Detroit opened at -105 (Bovada) and is currently receiving just 43% of moneyline wagers.

The public betting chart below, which is available on our Live Odds 3.0 page, shows a breakdown of moneyline action on this game from our six contributing sportsbooks.

As a result of the relatively lopsided betting in favor of Chicago, the moneyline has increased to +100 (Bovada).

Further strengthening our selection, we have also triggered a notable Steam Move on Detroit +100 by Cris [Cigar] (136-107, 55%, +16.73 units), which is currently by far and away the number one book in terms of its respective NHL Betting System.

The line history graph below, which is available to all Premium and All-Pro Combo members, shows how the moneyline betting trends and betting system plays have affected line movement for this game at Pinnacle.

Currently, Bovada has the most profitable moneyline for the Red Wings (+100), however, remember to Shop for the Best Line before placing your bet as this could change before the puck drops.

We are fading the home favorite Blackhawks and going with the Red Wings to pick up the big road victory and keep NHL Marketwatch on the winning track.

Games to Watch (12-6, +10.66 units)

Red Wings +100 (Bovada)

Enjoy the games!