by The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the 2010-11 edition of NCAA Football Marketwatch. The team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NCAA Football point-spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch!
Every week we speak directly with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and the Sharps are pounding. Let’s take a look at what’s in store for this week in College Football.
Sports Marketwatch – NCAA Week 5
Recapping Week 4
Marketwatch rebounded in a big way last week, winning all three of our Games to Watch. Army, a 6.5-point underdog, got us off to a great start with a 35-21 win over Duke. UCLA, getting 16.5 points, kept the momentum going with a huge 34-12 road upset of then #7-ranked Texas. In our final game, Auburn shook off a 6-point halftime deficit by outscoring South Carolina 21-7 in the second half, covering the 3-point spread.
Overall Record = 6-6 (50.0%)
The goal of this weekly column is to highlight games that offer true “line value.” Often, if a line looks too go to be true, there is a reason. You’ll occasionally need the worst teams on the board to come through. We typically buy on bad news and sell on good.
NCAA Sports Marketwatch Week 5 – Games to Watch
Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma State (9/30 – 7:30 p.m. ET)
Texas A&M struggled with five turnovers last week, but outscored Florida International 21-0 in the fourth quarter of the 27-20 comeback victory. Their opponent, Oklahoma State, had its offense going two weeks ago against Tulsa, racking up a ridiculous 722 yards in the 37-point win.
Oklahoma State opened as a 3.5-point favorite at CRIS and is currently receiving 69% of both spread and moneyline wagers. Although the Cowboys are a significant public favorite, the line has dropped one-point to -2.5 at many sportsbooks tracked by Sports Insights.
This reverse-line movement has lit up Sports Insights’ Betting Systems, triggering four positive Smart Money Plays and three positive Steam Moves, including two at 5Dimes (+10.23 units), our #1-ranked sportsbook for NCAA Football Steam Moves, on Texas A&M.
A quick scan of the sports marketplace shows there is one sportsbook offering this game at +3.5, so, as always, do some line shopping and grab the most points available.
Texas A&M + 3.5 (Bodog)
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So, here’s a wrap-up of Sports Insights’ analysis of this week’s Games to Watch for NCAA Football Week 5.
Games to Watch (6-6)
Texas A&M +3.5 (Bodog)
It should be another exciting week of NCAA Football. Keep Sports Marketwatch handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of NCAA Football Sports Marketwatch.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at Sports Insights