Welcome to the sixth edition of the 2011-2012 College Basketball Marketwatch, where the team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the College Basketball point-spread market.
Every week we analyze the sports betting marketplace to pinpoint which games the public is chasing and which the sharps are pounding.
Overall Record = 2-3
The goal of this weekly column is to highlight games that offer true “line value.” Often, if a line looks too good to be true, there is a reason. You’ll occasionally need the worst teams on the board to come through. We typically buy on bad news and sell on good.
Recapping Edition 5
Behind a team-high 16 points and 11 rebounds, the Purdue Boilermakers were able to knock off Big 10 rival Iowa by the score of 79-76. Fortunately, with Iowa getting four points we were able to cover the spread as marketwatch won it’s second game of this young season.
With the win, College Basketball Marketwatch moves to 2-3 on the year.
Wofford vs. College of Charleston (1/5 – 8:00 p.m. ET)
In this week’s edition of marketwatch, we will examine the Southern Conference battle between the Wofford Terriers (8-6, 1-1) and the College of Charleston Cougars (10-3, 2-0).
The Terriers, who are coming off a stunning 56-52 victory over Wake Forest, are led by 6’6″ senior guard Kevin Giltner — who averages 16 points per game this season.
On the flip side, the Cougars sport a well-rounded offense with four players posting double-digit scoring averages. However, C of C is led in both scoring and rebounding by Antwaine Wiggins (18.2 points, 7.0 rebounds).
The College of Charleston opened as a 2-point favorite at the market-setting Cris sportsbook and, according to Sports Insights’ College Basketball Betting Trends, is currently receiving 69% of all spread bets. Despite this one-sided betting percentage, the line has dropped to -1. This reverse line movement indicated that sharp money is coming in on Wofford.
The public betting chart below, which is available on our Live Odds 3.0 page, shows a breakdown of spread wagering action on this game from our six contributing sportsbooks:
|Teams||Market Avg %||Sprtsbk.com||BetUS||Carib||WagerWeb||5Dimes||SIA|
Moreover, Sports Insights’ College Basketball Betting Systems has triggered a Steam Move on Wofford at Easy Street (44-29, 60%, +11.0 units), which is one of our top performing College Basketball system plays.
The line graph below, which is available to all Premium and Premium Pro members, shows how the spread betting trends and betting system plays have affected line movement for this game at Pinnacle.
The market-setting sportsbooks have this game at 1, however be sure to shop around for the best line prior to tip-off as Carib is currently offering this game at 1.5. Once again we will fade a public favorite, follow the sharp money and take Wofford plus the points.
Game to Watch (2-3)
Wofford +1.5 (Carib)
Enjoy the games!