College Basketball Marketwatch Edition 1 2011-12

Edition 1 Betting Trends
Daniel Fabrizio

Welcome to the first edition of the 2011-2012 College Basketball Marketwatch, where the team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the College Basketball point-spread market.

Every week we analyze the sports betting marketplace to pinpoint which games the public is chasing and which the sharps are pounding.

Notre Dame vs. Missouri (11/21 – 7:30 p.m. ET)

In our first marketwatch of the season, two undefeated teams square off as Notre Dame (4-0) takes on the 24th-ranked Missouri Tigers (3-0) in the CBE Classic. Both teams are coming off landslide victories over marginal opponents as Notre Dame defeated Delaware State 93-69 on Friday behind 23 points from Scott Martin while Missouri demolished Niagara 83-52 with Marcus Denmon leading all scorers with 22.

Notre Dame will also welcome back Tim Abromaitis, a fifth-year senior who averaged more than 15 points and 6 rebounds last season. The 6’8” forward was suspended for four games due to his appearance in two exhibition games while redshirting as a sophomore.

According to Sports Insights’ College Basketball Betting Trends, Missouri opened as a 3.5 point favorite at Pinnacle and have received 64% of spread wagers.

The public betting chart below, which is available on our Live Odds 3.0 page, shows a breakdown of spread wagering action on this game from our six contributing sportsbooks:


Teams Market % BetUS Carib WagerWeb 5Dimes SIA


This lopsided action on Missouri has moved the line up to -4 at all of the market-setting sportsbooks.

Despite this one-sided betting, two system plays have been triggered on Notre Dame including this season’s top steam move from Carib Sports (13-5, 72%, +6.75 units).

The line history graph below, which is available to all Premium and Premium Pro members, shows how the spread betting trends and betting system plays have affected line movement for this game at Pinnacle.

Multiple public books are offering this game at 4.5 points, so we’ll follow the sharp money, shop for the best line and take the road underdog

Game to Watch (0-0)

Notre Dame +4.5


Enjoy the games!