NFL Marketwatch – Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos

Welcome to the 2012-13 edition of NFL Marketwatch, where the team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL point-spread market. Every week we analyze the sports betting marketplace to pinpoint which games the public is chasing and which the sharps are pounding. Overall Record: 2-2 (50%) The goal of this weekly…

The St. Louis Rams and the Value of Late Season Home Dogs

Recently in our series of Bet Sharp articles, we re-examined a 2003 article by Richard Borghesi entitled Price Predictability: Insights from the NFL Point Spread. Borghesi’s paper revealed that home underdogs are extremely undervalued in weeks 15-17, and our data confirmed this trend. In fact, our records indicated that this trend had only strengthened since that…

The Public’s Love/Hate Relationship with the 2011 Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills have been a pleasant surprise in 2011, highlighted by a come-from-behind win against New England in Week 3. While the Bills have given their fans something to cheer for, they’ve been a nightmare for the betting public so far this season. Week 1 After posting a 4-12 record in 2010, Buffalo received 46% of spread…

NFL Week 1 – Early Line Moves of Interest (Part 2)

1. Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears The betting public is hammering the Falcons, with 79% of spread bets taking the road favorites. Both CRIS and Pinnacle opened Atlanta as a 1-point favorite in this game, but have moved the line to -2.5 to offset the influx of early public money. Team # Bets Spread Current Open Atlanta Falcons…