2015 Masters Golf Tournament Betting Preview

The 79th edition of the prestigious Masters Tournament will begin on April 9th and conclude on April 12th in Augusta, GA. Bubba Watson took home the win last year at a price of 20:1 for his second Masters victory in the last 3 years.

The table below shows the last five Masters champions and their pre-tournament consensus odds:

Year Golfer Pre-tourney odds
2014 Bubba Watson +2000
2013 Adam Scott +2800
2012 Bubba Watson +3550
2011 Charl Schwartzel +8000
2010 Phil Mickelson +650

This year Rory McIlroy is playing the part of old Tiger Woods as a big favorite for a wide open field and oddly enough, Tiger is still attracting more bets to win it than Rory. The table below shows the 2015 Masters odds from offshore sportsbook 5Dimes:

Golfer April 8 April 6 March 9
McIlroy +555 +565 +475
Spieth +980 +940 +1700
B Watson +1020 +1060 +1100
Day +1280 +1360 +1350
D. Johnson +1455 +1495 +1550
Stenson +1860 +1750 +2800
Scott +1860 +1860 +1450
J Walker +2035 +2240 +4500
Mickelson +2340 +2110 +2800
P Reed +3200 +3135 +4500
Fowler +3285 +3285 +2800
Woods +3410 +3785 N/A
Rose +3485 +3285 +4000
Kuchar +3785 +3285 +3500
Garcia +3785 +3785 +4500
Snedeker +4000 +5000 +3800
Holmes +4500 +4500 +7500
Oosthuizen +6000 +5000 +6500
Westwood +6000 +5500 +5000
Casey +6600 +7000 +7000
Matsuyama +7500 +7000 +7000
Horschel +8000 +8000 +8000
Palmer +8000 +9500 +20000
Bradley +8500 +7500 +11000
Koepka +9500 +9000 +5000
Furyk +9500 +10000 +8500
Dubuisson +10000 +9500 +9500
Poulter +10000 +10000 +11500
A Cabrera +10000 +11000 +9000
Kaymer +11000 +8500 +5000
Z. Johnson +11000 +11000 +14500
Moore +11000 +13000 +12500
Woodland +11000 +14000 +13500
Schwartzel +11500 +10000 +8000
Mahan +11500 +10000 +12500
Henley +13500 +16000 +25000
Haas +14500 +16000 +11000
Harrington +17500 +16500 +7500
Donaldson +17500 +21500 +10000
Grace +19500 +17500 +13500
Dufner +19500 +18000 +10000
Simpson +20000 +20000 +16500
Kirk +20000 +23000 +16500
Blixt +21500 +14500 +16000
McDowell +21500 +19000 +12500
Donald +21500 +20000 +11000
Na +22500 +20000 +28500
Lowry +23500 +21000 N/A
C. Hoffman +24500 +30000 +34000
Leishman +25500 +26000 +19500
Jimenez +28500 +30000 +18500
Couples +30000 +34500 +20000
Els +31500 +9500 +23500
Stricker +32500 +30000 +30000
Villegas +39500 +54500 N/A
M. Hoffmann +40000 +44500 N/A
Todd +41500 +40000 +42000
Every +41500 +40000 N/A
Senden +42500 +40000 +42000
Bae +42500 +42500 N/A
Tringale +42500 +54500 N/A
Singh +45000 +70000 +50000
Luiten +47500 +50000 N/A
Willett +48500 +46500 N/A
Ogilvy +49500 +47500 +35000
B Martin +53000 +70000 N/A
Bjorn +55000 +46000 +47500
Langer +55000 +72500 +47500
Gallacher +56000 +50000 +38500
Stadler +60000 +86000 +50000
Streb +69500 +72500 N/A
Noh +70000 N/A N/A
Weir +75000 +100000 +50000
Streelman +76500 +75000 N/A
Ilonen +85000 +58500 +50000
Harman +90000 +90000 N/A
Immelman +97500 +60000 +50000
Compton +100000 +86500 +50000
Jaidee +100000 +95000 N/A
Crane +100000 +100000 +50000
Olazabal +100000 +100000 +50000
G Yang +100000 +100000 +50000
Dominguez +100000 +100000 N/A
Mize +100000 +100000 N/A
Hahn +100000 +100000 N/A
Harvey +100000 +100000 N/A
Lyle +100000 +100000 N/A
O'Meara +100000 +100000 N/A
Clarke +100000 +100000 +50000
Murdica +100000 N/A N/A
T Watson +100000 N/A N/A
Lehiri +100000 N/A N/A
Conners +100000 N/A N/A
Neil +200000 N/A N/A
Crenshaw +200000 N/A N/A
Meth +200000 N/A N/A
Woosnam +250000 +100000 N/A
Olesen N/A +13500 +21500
English N/A +20000 +15500
DeLaet N/A +20000 +17500
Manassero N/A +22500 +50000
Cink N/A +28500 +50000
Lawrie N/A +32000 +50000
Watney N/A N/A +8500
T Clark N/A N/A +50000
Colsaerts N/A N/A +30000
Toms N/A N/A +50000

Picks to Win:

Dan M: I’m picking Henrik Stenson (+1750) and even though he withdrew from last week’s tournament because of the flu, I’m not shying away from the Swede like everyone else. His preparations may be a little thrown off this week but lower expectations aren’t always a bad thing in golf. He has played solid everywhere this season and can handle rainy conditions which may be a factor. If he can’t notch a win, a Top-5 finish at +325 is well within reach.

Travis: I looked at four factors when determining my Masters pick this year: driving distance, par 4 scoring, par 5 scoring, and strokes gained tee-to-green.  Ryan Palmer ranks 6th, 5th, 27th, and 8th respectively in those four categories.  Bubba Watson and Jimmy Walker also rank highly in these categories but Palmer at +8000 gives the highest payout of the trio.  At $6600, he is also a great value play for those of you entering daily fantasy contests this weekend.

PJ: I’m going with experience and consistency this week by taking Matt Kuchar, currently +3785 to win the Masters. Kuchar has made the cut in each of his last five Masters appearances, highlighted by three consecutive Top 8 finishes. While Augusta National certainly sets up well for bombers like Phil Mickelson, Bubba Watson and Rory McIlroy, Kuchar ranks 14th in scrambling and 25th in total putting this year, two crucial skills needed to score well around these demanding greens. Based on current futures prices, I’ll let others bet on players who drive for show and grab the value with Kuchar to putt for the dough.

Prop Bets:

In addition to odds to win the tourney, there are some other props like the Winning Region of the Masters winner. Here’s how those odds look at a couple books around the market:

Sportsbook:         USA -140  |  Europe +210  |  Rest of World +400

BetOnline:            USA -110  |  Europe +150  |  Rest of World +350


There has been a prop bet available since the end of last season regarding the total # of majors won by either Rory McIlroy or Tiger Woods in the 2015 calender year (odds via 5Dimes):

McIlroy:  0 majors +100  |  1 major +125  | 2 majors +400  | 3 majors +1800  | 4 majors +5000

Woods:   0 majors -400  | 1 major +250  |  2 majors +2000  | 3 majors +8000  | 4 majors +25000


Despite Tiger Woods’ game taking a massive drop over the last few years, he still attracts the most attention, especially at a major tournament like the Masters. On Friday afternoon once Tiger officially announced he’d be part of the field, Sportsbook and Bovada released a prop regarding the cut:

Will Tiger Woods make the cut?

Sportsbook:   Opened Yes -115  |  No -115        Current Yes -135  |  No +115

Bovada:         Opened Yes -225  |  No +170        Current Yes -135  |  No +105

Bovada obviously mispriced this prop at first with bettors hammering the ‘No’ for Tiger to make the cut. Since then, the market has adjusted and most sportsbooks are listing ‘No’ at slight price money.

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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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