2016 March Madness: Are Elite Defenses Undervalued by Oddsmakers?

A successful contrarian bettor typically questions conventional wisdom, and challenges widely-held beliefs. Sportsbooks are excellent at predicting where they’re going to get action each week, and they shade their lines accordingly. These shaded lines create additional value for bettors who dare to go against the grain and take an unpopular viewpoint. Squares — or casual…

Find Value Betting NCAAB Conference Tournament Unders

Last season we published an article which explained how bettors could build their bankroll by taking the under in early season college basketball tournaments. We already knew that the under had been historically undervalued and hypothesized that players would be particularly rattled by these high-pressure, nationally-televised games. Additionally, we speculated that the long travel schedule…

Updated 80-20 NFL Betting System

Although we constantly talk about the value of betting against the public, one of the most popular strategies for bettors is the 80-20 betting system. In the past we’ve discussed how bettors can win at a 57.1% rate by fading large public favorites, but we had not analyzed this system in years and wanted to…

2015 NFL Betting Against the Public Report

Before every season, the team at Sports Insights publishes a series of Betting Against the Public articles which highlight the sweet spots for contrarian betting. The ideal range differs from sport to sport, but typically these systems focus on teams receiving less than 30% of public bets at our seven contributing sportsbooks. We have spoken at length…