NFL Marketwatch Week 12 2007-08

Sports Marketwatch – Early Moves Edition
NFL Week 12
11/23/2007  11:01 AM EST
by Daniel Fabrizio

Welcome to this week’s edition of the Sports Marketwatch, where Daniel Fabrizio, founder of, gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL point-spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketplace!

Every week he speaks directly with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and the Sharps are pounding. Dan takes a look at what’s in store for this week in the NFL.

Sports Marketplace – NFL Week 12

Recapping Last Week

All sportsbooks reported a positive Sunday for NFL Week 11. The Public posted their tenth consecutive losing week. analysis shows that in games with over 65% of the action on one side, the Public went 4-4-2. Remember when you factor in “the juice”, going .500 is losing. For the season that makes the Public 34-44-8 = 43.6%. Games to Watch analysis continued its positive momentum, going 2-0-1 last weekend. Overall, that makes the Games to Watch column 21-10-2 = 67.7%.

View Last Week’s Column

Looking Ahead to this Week
Look for handle sizes to remain strong in NFL Week 12 as the Public attempts to cash in again on some over-matched teams. We anticipate Seattle, New York Giants, New England, and Jacksonville to be the most “lopsided-bet” games of the week. Visit to view LIVE wagering statistics from multiple online sportsbooks.

NFL Week 12 Sports Marketwatch – Games to Watch

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

This is an NFC South divisional rivalry between two under performing teams (both 4-6) that are, amazingly enough, still in the playoff picture. Carolina is a great value play as a +3 Home Dog. Granted, Carolina is on a four game losing steak, but they get Steve Smith back this week and they are coming off of one of their best offensive performances of the year. Carolina has a talented squad that has endured its share of injuries. Look for some home cooking to help Carolina get healthy and back on track.

Carolina Panthers +3

So, here’s a wrap-up of analysis for this week’s Games to Watch for NFL Week 12.

Games to Watch (21-10-2)
Carolina Panthers +3

It should be another exciting NFL Weekend. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.

I’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch.

Enjoy the games!

Daniel Fabrizio