The 2016 US Open will be the 136th playing of this tournament, taking place from August 29-September 11 in New York City. Last year saw massive longshot Flavia Pennetta at 200:1 odds go on to win on the Women’s side, but she has now retired. Here’s a look at recent winners and their pre-tournament consensus odds to win:
|Year||Men's Winner||Odds||Women's Winner||Odds|
|2015||Novak Djokovic||+100||Flavia Pennetta||+20000|
|2014||Maric Cilic||+10000||Serena Williams||+175|
|2013||Rafael Nadal||+600||Serena Williams||-120|
|2012||Andy Murray||+350||Serena Williams||-105|
|2011||Novak Djokovic||+150||Samantha Stosur||+3300|
|2010||Rafael Nadal||+250||Kim Clijsters||+300|
|2009||Juan Martin Del Potro||+1000||Kim Clijsters||+1200|
Novak Djokovic will look to defend his US Open title, while Serena Williams will try to win her 23rd career and record-setting major. Below shows odds for each player at 5Dimes to win the 2016 US Open.
Men’s US Open Odds
|Player||August 21||July 10|
|Juan Martin Del Potro||+1600||+5000|
|Guillermo Garcia Lopez||+6000||+50000|
|Jo Wilfried Tsonga||+10000||+6600|
|Roberto Bautista Agut||+25000||+20000|
On the Men’s side, Novak Djokovic is the clear and deserved favorite at -120, followed by 2016 Wimbledon Champion Andy Murray at +250. Djokovic had won the first two majors of the year and was looking for the Grand Slam before getting upset by Sam Querrey at Wimbledon, who was a 33:1 underdog.
At William Hill, Djokovic is getting 32% of money wagered to win it, followed by Thiem (14%), Cilic (13%), Del Potro (12%), and Kyrgios (12%). Andy Murray is surprisingly getting just 4% of all money wagered to win the US Open despite being second favorite.
On top of that, Murray has moved from +350 to +250 over the last month due to his gold medal at the Olympics and Djokovic’s early exit there. Roger Federer has withdrawn due to injury, paving the way towards a Djokovic/Murray final. Juan Martin Del Potro nearly upset Murray to win Olympic gold, but his efforts in Brazil have moved him from +5000 to +1600.
Women’s US Open Odds
|Player||August 21||July 10|
|Carla Suarez Navarro||+15000||+15000|
|Irina Camelia Begu||+25000||+25000|
|Alison Van Uytvanck||+40000||+20000|
|Bethanie Mattek Sands||+40000||+15000|
|Mirjana Lucic Baroni||+50000||+35000|
On the Women’s side, Serena Williams is of course the favorite but is again listed at plus-money odds to win it. She was also listed at plus-money before Wimbledon but cruised to her 22nd career Grand Slam victory. A number of longshots have been able to reach the finals in majors recently, which always makes for quality hedging opportunities, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see another make a run in the US Open.
At William Hill, Petra Kvitova is getting the most money wagered to win it all with 19%, followed by the field (18%), Kerber (13%), Keys (13%), and Serena (11%).
Monica Puig has made a huge jump from +25000 to +2800 to win the US Open following her gold medal at the Olympics. However, I still personally like Serena at +135 to finish off the year strong with another major victory, especially since Azarenka withdrew due to pregnancy.