by The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the 2010-11 edition of NCAA Football Marketwatch. The team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NCAA Football point-spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch!
Every week we speak directly with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and which the sharps are pounding. Let’s take a look at what’s in store for this week in College Football.
Sports Marketwatch – NCAA Week 8
Recapping Week 7
Marketwatch hit a huge upset last week, with Wisconsin, getting 4 points, beating newly #1-ranked Ohio State, 31-18. The Badgers, fueled by a raucous home crowd, jumped on the Buckeyes early, taking a 21-3 lead by halftime. Ohio State attempted to make a comeback, cutting Wisconsin’s lead to 3 early in the fourth quarter, but a James White rushing touchdown, with less than seven minutes to go, put the Badgers up 10, sealing the upset victory.
Overall Record = 10-9 (52.6%)
The goal of this weekly column is to highlight games that offer true “line value.” Often, if a line looks too go to be true, there is a reason. You’ll occasionally need the worst teams on the board to come through. We typically buy on bad news and sell on good.
NCAA Sports Marketwatch Week 8 – Game to Watch
Hawaii vs. Utah State (10/23 – 5:00 p.m. ET)
Hawaii heads to Utah State this week riding a four-game winning streak, including last week’s 27-21 victory over Nevada. As expected, Hawaii did most of their damage through the air, racking up 287 passing yards, compared to only 59 on the ground.
Utah State’s offense struggled mightily in their last game, a 24-6 loss to Louisiana Tech. The Aggies had all kinds of trouble moving the football, mustering a measly 195 total yards.
Hawaii opened as a 4-point favorite at CRIS and is currently receiving 67% of spread wagers. However, sharp money seems to be coming down on the home underdog, shrinking the line to -3.5. Sports Insights’ Betting Systems agree, triggering one positive Steam Move and four positive Smart Money Plays, including one at Pinnacle (+9.94 units), on Utah State.
For the second straight week, we’ll bet against the public, follow the Smart Money and take a home underdog.
Utah State +3.5
ESPN’s Chad Millman Teams with Sports Insights
ESPN sports betting columnist Chad Millman has teamed with Sports Insights to analyze line movement in the NFL sports marketplace. Check out this week’s column where Millman and Sports Insights’ President, Dan Fabrizio, break down line movement for five Week 7 NFL matchups.
So, here’s a wrap-up of Sports Insights’ analysis of this week’s Game to Watch for NCAA Football Week 8.
Game to Watch (10-9)
Utah State +3.5
It should be another exciting week of NCAA Football. Keep Sports Marketwatch handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of NCAA Football Sports Marketwatch.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at Sports Insights