NFL Marketwatch Week 20 2007-08

Sports Marketwatch – Playoffs Edition
NFL Week 20 – NFL Playoffs
1/18/2008  11:01 AM EST
by Daniel Fabrizio

Welcome to this week’s edition of the Sports Marketwatch, where Daniel Fabrizio, founder of, gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL point-spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketplace!

Every week he speaks directly with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and the Sharps are pounding. Dan takes a look at what’s in store for this week in the NFL.

Sports Marketwatch – NFL Week 20 – NFL Playoffs

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NFL Playoffs – Games to Watch

The NFL Playoffs are a totally different animal than the NFL Regular season. The amount of “Public” square bets skyrockets. The culmination of this trend is the Super Bowl, the most wagered sporting event of the year. Everyone, and their mother, wagers on the Super Bowl. From the casual “box-office-pool” – to the professional sports bettor – to the Superbowl commercials: everyone has some interest in the Superbowl.

For value-minded sports investors, this massive influx of “Public” money means opportunity. During the NFL Playoffs, odds makers heavily weigh Public opinion when deciding on a game’s betting line. They’ll shade a line 2-3 pts knowing that the Public will be heavily on one side. “Public Money” dwarfs the amount of “Sharp Money” buying back the shaded lines.

San Diego Chargers vs New England Patriots

Our sportsbook contacts tell us that the majority of bets are coming in on San Diego. The line opened at New England –15.5 but the early heavy Public action on San Diego has caused a huge 2-point move through the key number of 14.

SportsInsights’ exclusive betting percentages show that the Public is on San Diego to the tune of almost 6 out of every 10 bets. San Diego has had a great run but is now banged up a bit. We see good value on New England –13.5 at home.

New England Patriots –13.5  (Sports Interaction)

Playoff Recap
New England Patriots –13.5  (Sports Interaction)

It should be another exciting NFL Weekend. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.comm for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.

I’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch.

Enjoy the games!

Daniel Fabrizio