by The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the 2010-11 edition of NCAA Football Marketwatch. The team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NCAA Football point-spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch!
Every week we speak directly with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and which the sharps are pounding. Let’s take a look at what’s in store for this week in College Football.
Sports Marketwatch – NCAA Week 9
Recapping Week 8
Last week was an ugly one for Marketwatch with Utah State getting hammered by Hawaii, 45-7. The Aggies had no answer for the Warriors’ offense, which racked up an astounding 605 total yards.
Overall Record = 10-10 (50%)
The goal of this weekly column is to highlight games that offer true “line value.” Often, if a line looks too go to be true, there is a reason. You’ll occasionally need the worst teams on the board to come through. We typically buy on bad news and sell on good.
NCAA Sports Marketwatch Week 9 – Game to Watch
Florida State vs. NC State (10/28 – 7:45 p.m. ET)
After getting pounded by Oklahoma, Florida State has rebounded with five straight victories, including a 45-17 destruction of rival Miami.
Their opponent, NC State, jumped out to a 4-0 record this season, however, the Wolfpack’s fast start has begun to lose momentum. Since the beginning of October, NC State is 1-2, including a 33-27 overtime loss to East Carolina in their last game.
Florida State opened as a 3.5-point favorite at CRIS and, even though the Seminoles are currently receiving 66% of spread wagers, the line has stayed relatively stable throughout the sports marketplace. Even with the lack of significant line movement, the Betting Trends data suggests sharp money is coming down on NC State. Sports Insights’ Betting Systemsconcur, triggering one positive Smart Money Play and three positive Steam Moves, including one at Legendz (+8.4 units), on NC State.
At the time of publication, the majority of sportsbooks are offering NC State at +3.5, but three have moved to a full 4. Do some line shopping, follow the sharp money and take NC State and the points.
NC State +4
So, here’s a wrap-up of Sports Insights’ analysis of this week’s Game to Watch for NCAA Football Week 9.
Game to Watch (10-10)
NC State +4
It should be another exciting week of NCAA Football. Keep Sports Marketwatch handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of NCAA Football Sports Marketwatch.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at Sports Insights
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