NCAAFB Marketwatch Week 14 2010

by The Team at

Welcome to the 2010-11 edition of NCAA Football Marketwatch. The team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NCAA Football point-spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch!

Every week we speak directly with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and which the sharps are pounding. Let’s take a look at what’s in store for this week in College Football.

Sports Marketwatch – NCAA Week 14

Recapping Week 13

Last week, Idaho used a strong second half to keep their game against Fresno State close, beating the 10.5-point spread. The Vandals trailed 13-3 heading into the fourth quarter, but outscored the Bulldogs 17-10 the rest of the way, ultimately losing by three, but scoring a victory for Marketwatch.

Overall Record = 13-12 (52%)

The goal of this weekly column is to highlight games that offer true “line value.” Often, if a line looks too go to be true, there is a reason. You’ll occasionally need the worst teams on the board to come through. We typically buy on bad news and sell on good.

NCAA Football Sports Marketwatch Week 14 – Game to Watch

San Jose State vs. Idaho (12/3 – 5:00 p.m. ET)

San Jose State’s woes continued last week, as the Spartans committed seven penalties and four turnovers in a 45-38 loss to Louisiana Tech.

As mentioned in the recap above, Idaho kept it close in their last game, losing 23-20 to Fresno State.

Idaho opened as a 13-point favorite at Olympic and is currently receiving 81% of spread bets and 75% of moneyline wagers. These lopsided betting percentages have pushed the line to -13.5 at many sportsbooks across the sports marketplace, with a good number moving to -14.

Sports Insights’ Betting Systems triggered a Smart Money Play on San Jose State at WSEX (+12.68 units) convincing us to fade the public, follow the Smart Money and grab the 14-point underdog.

San Jose State +14

So, here’s a wrap-up of Sports Insights’ analysis of this week’s Game to Watch for NCAA Football Week 14.

Game to Watch (13-12)
San Jose State +14

It should be another exciting week of NCAA Football. Keep Sports Marketwatch handy and your browser pointed to for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of NCAA Football Sports Marketwatch.

Enjoy the games!

The Team at Sports Insights