NCAAFB Marketwatch Week 15 2009

by The Team at

Welcome to the 2009-10 edition of NCAA Football Marketwatch. The team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NCAA Football point-spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch!

Every week we speak directly with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and the Sharps are pounding. Let’s take a look at what’s in store for this week in College Football.

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Sports Marketwatch – NCAA Week 15

Recapping Week 14

In our first game last week, West Virginia gave Rutgers quarterback Tom Savage, and Marketwatch, fits, holding him to just nine completions, while forcing two interceptions, in the Mountaineers’ 24-21 victory. Marketwatch’s only win of the week came in a track meet between Fresno State and Illinois.  Down by seven, the Bulldogs scored a touchdown with two seconds remaining and did Marketwatch a huge favor by going for (and converting) the two-point conversion, guaranteeing us a victory. In our third and final game, Florida Atlantic scored two fourth quarter touchdowns, topping Florida International, and Marketwatch, 28-21.

Overall Record = 23-18-1 (56.1%)

Warning to all new readers of the NCAA Football Sports Marketwatch column: in order to follow our selections, you’ll need ice running through your veins. Be prepared to take up meditation or acupuncture to calm the nerves. The goal of this weekly column is to highlight games that offer true “line value.” Often, if a line looks too go to be true, there is a reason. The underlining theme every week is line value. You’ll occasionally need the worst teams on the board to come through. We typically buy on bad news and sell on good.

NCAA Sports MarketWatch Week 15 – Games to Watch

Army vs. Navy (12/12 – 3:30 pm)

As if they needed more motivation, Army comes into this season’s battle for the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy needing a win to become bowl eligible. A victory over Navy not only means 364 days of bragging rights over their rival, but would also send the Black Knights to the Eagle Bank Bowl to face Temple. Navy has won the last seven Commander-in-Chief Trophy’s and has already locked up a date with Missouri in the Texas Bowl.

Navy opened as a 14-point favorite at Olympic and the line has moved to -14.5. There has been little line movement across the sports marketplace and the public is backing the Midshipmen, who are currently garnering 64% of spread wagers. SportsInsights’ Betting Systems have found value in this game, triggering a Smart Money play at Cata/VegasVic (+19.26 units) and a Steam Move at BetOnline (+13 units) on Army. 

Army +14.5 (Bodog)

So, here’s a wrap-up of SportsInsights’ analysis of this week’s Games to Watch for NCAA Football Week 15.

Games to Watch (23-18-1)
Army +14.5 (Bodog)

It should be another exciting week of NCAA Football. Keep Sports Marketwatch Games to Watch picks handy and your browser pointed to for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of the NCAA Football Sports Marketwatch.

Enjoy the games!

The Team at Sports Insights