NBA Marketwatch Edition 4 2010-11

Sports Marketwatch
NBA Edition
1/12/2010 5:00 PM EST
By The Team at

Welcome to the NBA edition of Sports Marketwatch, where the Team at Sports Insights gives sports fans an unprecedented glimpse into the NBA point-spread marketplace. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch.

The staff at analyzes the marketplace to identify which games the public is chasing and which ones the sharps are pounding. Let’s take a look at what’s in store for tonight’s NBA games.

Sports Marketplace – NBA Edition

Recapping Last Week

Marketwatch took a punch to the gut last week when we took the Phoenix Suns (-2) to beat the Knicks.  Amare Stoudemire made his return to Phoenix, and helped the Knicks blowout the Suns by 25 points.

2010-11 NBA Games to Watch: 1-2 (33%)*

Milwauke Bucks (+4) over San Antonio Spurs

The San Antonio Spurs have had an impressive start to the NBA season, posting a league-best 32-6 record.

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks are 14-21 this season, although they do have a respectable 8-8 record at home.  Brandon Jennings is still out with a foot injury, but the Bucks’ center Andrew Bogut is expected to play after suffering from an illness earlier this week.

Milwaukee opened as a 3.5-point dog at CRIS and is only receiving 12% of spread bets.  Even though the vast majority of the bets have come down on the Spurs, the line at CRIS has dropped half a point towards the Bucks.  This reverse-line movement has triggered two Smart Money Plays and a CRIS Steam Move (133-109 +11.9 units) on the home dog.

This is a classic example of buying a team at a low, and selling a team at a high, in regards to how the public perceives both teams.  The low betting percentage on the Bucks could also make them an NBA Square Play, which are currently 46-30 (+12.5 units) on the season.

Milwaukee Bucks +4 (Bet at SIA +4)

Games to Watch: 1-2
Milwaukee Bucks +4

It should be an exciting night in the sports marketplace. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.  We’ll be back next week with another edition of  Sports Marketwatch – NBA Edition.

Enjoy the games!