4/7/2010 5:00 PM EST
By The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the NBA edition of Sports Marketwatch, wherethe Team at SportsInsights gives sports fans an unprecedented glimpse into the NBApoint-spread marketplace. If you ever wanted to know what was really happeningon the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch!Initially, the NBA Edition of Sports Marketwatch will be a weekly columnpublished on Wednesdays, normally around 5PM, Eastern Time.
The staff at SportsInsights.com analyzes the marketplace, and especially thesports betting industry’s largest and most reputable sportsbooks, to identifywhich games the public is chasing and which ones the Sharps are pounding. Let’stake a look at what’s in store for tonight’s NBA games.
SportsMarketplace – NBA Edition
Marketwatch keeps on surging upwards, and we’ll look to do good things again this week aftera perfect pair of picks last Wednesday. Atlanta’s bench scored 48 pointsin a home rout over the Lakers which seemed to have Kobe Bryant stingingafterward. He criticized the team’s defensive effort that allowed theHawks to run away to a 109-92 victory. In our other featured game,unheralded Sonny Weems was a perfect 8-for-8 from the floor and Chris Bosh added34 points and 11 rebounds for the Raptors, who blew out the Clippers 114-92.Even laying 9.5 points, that’s an easy cover over the Baron-less LA-B team.
2009-10 NBA Games to Watch: 21-17,55.3%*
Dallas Mavericks -9 over Memphis Grizzlies
It’s nearly NBA playoff time. March Madness just ended, and for thisDuke alum, all is right with the world. All is not right in Dallas, though, as the Mavericks have lost two home games in a row and dropped intoa 3-way tie for the 3-seed in the Western Conference. Not too longago, it looked like the Mavs would stroll right into the playoffs as a confident 2-seed, but now they’re in danger of not having home courtadvantage for even one playoff series. After three days off, they’llbe visited tonight by the Memphis Grizzlies, who briefly contended but havebeen eliminated from the playoffs. Big man Marc Gasol is also out forthe season with a partially torn neck muscle, leaving them shorthanded inthe frontcourt. That’s not a position anyone wants to be in againstDallas, who can throw bruisers Erick Dampier and Brendan Haywood at you allgame, and oh-by-the-way have a 7-foot forward who can shoot pretty well.You know, the guy from Germany… maybe you’ve heard of him?
Dallas opened as 8-point favorites at CRIS and have been getting a surprisingly meager 44%of spread bets. This is a classic case of the Public having a shortmemory, likely overvaluing what’s happened in the last couple of days andnot the full season. The bookmakers tend not to fall prey to suchshortsightedness, and in the face of the Public disrespect, the line hasactually grown against the betting percentages. Dallas is now -9 atmost sportsbooks and even higher at a few others. Coming off a tiringgame last night against the speedy Rockets, we foresee the eliminatedGrizzlies putting up a dud against a rested Dallas team with something toplay for.
Dallas Mavericks -9
Games to Watch: 21-17 = 55.3%
It should be an exciting night in the sports marketplace. Keep SportsMarketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.comfor thelatest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.We’ll be back next Wednesday with the new edition of the SportsMarketwatch –NBA Edition.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at SportsInsights.com