10/28/2009 5:30 PM EST
By The Team atSportsInsights.com
Welcome to this this year’s FIRST edition of theNBA Sports Marketwatch, where the Team at SportsInsights gives sports fansunprecedented insight into the NBA point-spread marketplace. If you ever wantedto know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have anall-access pass with Sports Marketwatch! Initially, the NBA Edition of SportsMarketwatch will be a weekly column published on Wednesdays, normally around5PM, Eastern Time.
The staff at SportsInsights.com analyzes themarketplace, and especially the sports betting industry’s largest and mostreputable sportsbooks, to identify which games the public is chasing and whichones the Sharps are pounding. Let’s take a look at what’s in store for tonight’sNBA games.
Sports Marketplace – NBA Edition
As this is our firstedition of the season, there are no games to recap. Nevertheless, some excitingthings have already happened in the NBA. Lebron James ran Cleveland Browns widereceiver Braylon Edwards out of town for fighting with his posse. A Big Babywill be incognito in Boston for a few weeks after sustaining a hand injuryduring his own fight, only his was with a friend. We wish him the luck of theIrish while recovering from surgery. And in Los Angeles, Ron Artestsucker-punched Kobe Bryant for being so smug and smiley during the NBAChampionship ring ceremony Tuesday night, also claiming that Kobe promised him aMyspace shoutout and hadn’t followed through yet. Okay, that last one didn’thappen yet. But the NBA will be going ’til the summer, so you can’t blame themfor saving a bit of the drama. Oh David Stern, you could create an MTV realityshow.
2009-10 NBA Games to Watch: 0-0, 0%
Sports Marketwatch 10/28/09 – Games toWatch
Charlotte Bobcats +10.5 over BostonCeltics
The Bobcats took a few steps forward last season, fighting for the lastplayoff spot in the East until the very end and generally showing some LarryBrown-style gumption. They also rose to the occasion in a few big games,including two wins against the Lakers and one double-overtime loss in Boston.Tonight, they’ll face a Celtics team coming off a huge opening-night win inCleveland. Kevin Garnett looked solid after last year’s mysterious knee injury,and they even got a solid contribution off the bench from newcomer RasheedWallace.
After last night’s primetime victory, the Celtics have received 71% of spreadbets and 87% of parlays. Yet the line has dropped from where it opened – 10.5at both CRIS and Pinnacle – to -10 almost across the board. That reverse linemovement indicates sharp bettors coming in on Charlotte, and indeed we’ve seen aSmart Money play on the Bobcats. It’s too early to tell exactly which bookswill rise to the top of our Betting Systems’ rankings this NBA season, butCata/VegasVic was on the right side of the Mavericks/Wizards game last night,and we’ll follow them here. You can find an extra half-point atBodog.
Charlotte Bobcats +10.5(Bodog)
Sacramento Kings +7 over Oklahoma CityThunder
Oklahoma City made even bigger strides than Charlotte didlast season, and with a young nucleus of Kevin Durant, Jeff Green and RussellWestbrook, many are expecting the future in OKC to be very bright. Their onlysignificant weakness might be in the frontcourt, and that’s where the Kingsmatch up with them the best. Everyone knows the guard combo of rookie TyrekeEvans and All-Star Kevin Martin will put points on the board, but young big menJason Thompson and Spencer Hawes are both animals on the glass.
The Thunder opened at -7.5 and, despite the franchise’s dearth of results thepast few years, are getting a stout 61% of spread bets, as well as 74% of parlaywagers. The public support isn’t impressing the bookmakers, however, as theline has dropped to -6.5 at most sportsbooks. A full-point move is significantthis early in the season, and when it goes against the betting percentages, itcan be even more persuasive. Move quickly, and you can find the Kings getting 7points with low juice!
Sacramento Kings +7/-105(Grande)
Games to Watch: 0-0 = 0%
CharlotteBobcats +10.5 (Bodog)
Sacramento Kings +7 (Grande)
It should be an exciting night in the sports marketplace. Keep SportsMarketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for thelatest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll beback next Wednesday with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch – NBAEdition.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at SportsInsights.com