5/11/2010 5:00 PMEST
By The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the 2010 edition ofMLB Sports Marketwatch, where the Team at SportsInsights gives sports fansunprecedented insight into the sports marketplace. If you ever wanted to knowwhat was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-accesspass with Sports Marketwatch! Sports MarketWatch will be published everyTuesday, around 5PM Eastern Time.
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Sports Marketplace – MLBEdition
Marketwatch continuesits see-saw early season after a home loss by the Indians last Tuesday. Thingslooked good after Jake Westbrook was spotted a 3-run lead in the bottom of the3rd inning, but things quickly turned south. Westbrook and thebullpen proceeded to surrender 7 runs to Toronto over the next 4 innings enroute to an 8-5 loss. Vernon Wells scored a run and drove in 2 without evenrecording a hit in the Blue Jays victory.
2010 MLB Games to Watch: 3-4, 42.9%, -0.3units
Sports MarketWatch – MLB Games to Watch
LA Angels+123 over Tampa Bay Rays
Brian Fuentes tried his hardest to give awayJoel Pineiro’s stellar start last night, allowing 3 earned runs to cross theplate in the top of the 9th inning. In fact, he did give awayPineiro’s statistical win against the Rays, but the Angels recovered with asacrifice fly from Juan Rivera to take the game in the bottom of the11th. Tonight, the somewhat erratic Scott Kazmir will step to the LAmound to face the somewhat unheralded Jeff Niemann. The young Tampa righty haspitched well of late against light-hitting offenses like Seattle and KansasCity, but he doesn’t have the electric stuff Kazmir does when he’s on. Bothlineups are relatively prolific, and though Tampa Bay has been slugging like noone else in the majors thus far, the Angels have a number of veteran hittersbeginning to break out of early season slumps.
Tampa Bay opened between -115 and -130 at themarket-setting sportsbooks and has received an overwhelming majority of Publicbets. At the time of writing, that means 84% of runline bets as well as 79% ofboth moneyline and parlays. Yet the line has remained relatively stable. Suchlopsided betting, especially in a game garnering a fairly high number of bets,makes this match-up ripe for a Square Play. The simplest of our bettingsystems, Square Plays are up +7.8 Units thus far this season, capitalizing onthe value created by an overeager general betting populace. Go out and grab theAngels to hand Tampa its fourth loss in a row.
LA Angels +123
Washington Nationals +132 over NYMets
Frustrating as it may be, the Nationals simply refuse toremain the whipping post of the rest of the National League. Since the middleof last month, they have won series against the Brewers, Dodgers, Braves, Cubsand Marlins. With a strong performance from resurgent Scott Olsen today, theycan add the Mets to that list as well. The lefty has given up only one earnedrun in his last twenty innings, spanning three starts. Known in previous yearsto be prone to the long ball, he’ll have a better shot at keeping it in thespacious Citi Field tonight.
The Public seemsto be a tick slow in respecting the no-longer-Natinals, as they are receivingonly 36% of both moneyline and runline wagers at the favored Mets. The line,which opened at New York -135 at both CRIS and Olympic, has grown slightly withthe heavy money. Sports Insights Betting Systems have weighed in here as well,as we saw a Steam Move come through on Washington this morning from WSEX (7-3,+3.1 Units). Go grab the hot team with a pitching advantage getting plus-money,and thank us later.
Games to Watch (3-4, -0.3units)
LA Angels +123
It should beanother exciting night in the sports marketplace. Keep Sports Marketwatch pickshandy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-timeupdates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back Tuesday withthe new edition of the Sports Marketwatch – MLB Edition.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at SportsInsights.com