8/17/2010 5:20 PM EST
By The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the 2010 edition of MLB Sports Marketwatch, where the Team at SportsInsights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the sports marketplace. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch! Sports MarketWatch will be published once weekly, around 5PM Eastern Time.
Sports Marketplace – MLB Edition
Marketwatch began its turnaround in our last installment, as the Padres beat the Dodgers at Chavez Ravine. Neither starting pitcher threw very well, but the Los Angeles middle relief nearly surrendered a half dozen runs. Chase Headley had 3 runs and 3 RBI in the Padres offensive explosion, and they took the victory 10-5.
2010 MLB Games to Watch: 6-13, 31.6%, -5.15 units
Sports MarketWatch – MLB Games to Watch
Detroit Tigers +170 over New York Yankees
Tigers are typically ferocious creatures, but the ones native to Detroit have been pussycats over the last month, dropping like a stone out of what was a tight AL Central race by going 10-23 since July 11. The talent is there, of course, and they’ve been competitive, with 11 of the 23 losses coming by 2 runs or less. More recently, their rash of injuries has subsided, as they’ve benefitted from getting infielders Carlos Guillen and Brandon Inge back from the disabled list. Miguel Cabrera has had a lukewarm August but hit home runs in consecutive games, and tonight they’ll send ace Justin Verlander to the mound to follow up a series opening win. He’ll face off against Yankees ace CreamCheese Sabathia, who is 3-2 in his last five starts, both losses coming on the road. CC is always toughest late in the season, but he hasn’t put together a truly dominating performance since early July. Two new injuries to note: New York is expected to be without both Alex Rodriguez and Nick Swisher tonight, who both sustained injuries in last night’s series opener.
If I told you a team opened at a certain line yesterday and now sit at almost the exact same line, you’d probably think there wasn’t enough market movement to determine a strong play. The Yankees opened at -175 at Olympic and now are listed at -176. Yet a whopping 81% of moneyline bets have come down on the defending champions, as well as 85% of runline and 77% of parlay wagers. Normally, this should boost the line by quite a bit, but we have seen some very sharp money fall on Detroit. A Steam Move has come through from Pinnacle (+21.2 Units Won) to keep the line from moving toward the Yankees. It’s rare that we should have a guy like Verlander, one of the best pitchers in the game, be so undervalued as to qualify for a Square Play. So we’re jumping on it, and you should too.
Detroit Tigers +170
Games to Watch (6-13, -5.15 units)
It should be another exciting night in the sports marketplace. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back next week with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch – MLB Edition.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at SportsInsights.com