9/7/11 5:00 PM EST
By The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the MLB Edition of Sports Marketwatch, where the Team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the sports betting marketplace. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch!
The staff at Sports Insights analyzes the MLB marketplace to identify which games the public is chasing and which ones the sharps are pounding. Let’s take a look at what game we are highlighting tonight.
Sports Marketplace – MLB Edition
Recapping Last Week
The Dodgers got home runs from James Loney and MVP candidate Matt Kemp in a big seventh inning to take down the Rockies 6-1. Ted Lilly gave up three hits and one run in seven innings to earn the win.
2011 MLB Games to Watch: 9-13, 40.9%, -2.91 units
St. Louis Cardinals -107 over Milwaukee Brewers
This week, we focus on the rivalry featuring the top two teams in the NL Central. The Brewers have run away with the division and have a 9.5 game lead. Meanwhile the Cardinals have not been mathematically eliminated, but their season is all but over.
Both teams will send out quality starters with Zack Greinke (14-5, 4.00 ERA) taking on Chris Carpenter (8-9, 3.92 ERA). Greinke has won 7 of his last 8 starts, while Carpenter is coming off two rough outings against the Reds and Pirates (6 earned runs in each).
The Cardinals actually opened as -122 favorites at Pinnacle, and Sports Insights’ MLB Betting Trends are showing that only 25% of moneyline wagers and 32% of spread wagers are taking the home favorites. This has caused the line to drop to -107 despite Sports Insights tracking a Steam Move at Pinnacle (328-295, +23.94 units won) on the Cards.
While we normally are taking underdogs, the contrarian play today is actually taking a small favorite. Let’s bet against the public, follow the steam, and get back into the win column.
Games to Watch (9-13, -2.91 units)
St Louis Cardinals -107
It should be another exciting night in the sports marketplace. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back next week with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch – MLB Edition.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at SportsInsights.com