College Basketball Marketwatch Edition 7 2009-10

Sports MarketWatch
1/5/2009  5:00 PM EST
By The Team at 

Welcome to the Sports Marketwatch – NCAA Basketball Edition, where SportsInsights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the sports marketplace. If you want to know what is really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch!The staff at speaks directly with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and which ones the Sharps are pounding.  Let’s look at what’s in store for the upcoming NCAAB games.Sports Marketwatch – NCAA Basketball Edition

We kept the momentum going in our last edition of college basketball Marketwatch with a nice hit on Loyola Marymount.  With Long Beach State looking ahead to games against Kentucky and Duke (in both of which they covered the spread), Marymount withstood a second-half rally to force overtime.  They took the victory by five, with four players scoring 13 points or more.

2009 NCAA Basketball Games to Watch: 3-5-1, 37.5%*



Arkansas Razorbacks +14.5 over Texas Longhorns

The Big 12 and SEC are set to clash tonight in Fayetteville, with horns and tusks a-flying.  Texas has been arguably the best team in the country, with double-digit victories over the likes of Pittsburgh, USC, North Carolina and Michigan State.  They nearly stumbled Saturday against piddling Texas A&M Corpus Christi, eventually pulling it out at home 76-70.  Arkansas will hope to find and exploit whatever chinks in the Longhorn armor may have been exposed, but they’ll still likely be without standout guard Courtney Fortson.  The sophomore hasn’t played yet this season after a troubling tweet regarding a private police investigation on campus.  Coming off a tough one-point loss to UAB, at least this Duke alum remembers how good Arkansas can be at playing spoiler…

Texas opened as 16-point favorites at CRIS and are receiving a big public backing, with 71% of spread, 54% of moneyline and 91% of early parlay bets going their way.  Nevertheless, the line has dropped significantly.  The Longhorns are only laying 14 points at most offshore books, and it looks like some big money has come down on the Hogs.  A solid Steam Move has come in from ABC (+14.6 Units Won).  A quick look at our Betting Systems – NCAA Basketball Steam Moves – page reveals that ABC has hit on 10 of its last 11 Steam Moves, and we don’t mind riding a hand while it’s hot.  Go grab the extra half point at BetPhoenix while it’s still available.

Arkansas +14.5 (BetPhoenix)

Akron Zips -110 over Rhode Island Rams

The Rhode Island Rams are a hot 11-1 to start the season, hearkening back to the glorious days of old when Lamar Odom and Cuttino Mobley graced the hardwood.  These days, it’s just Keith Cothran and Delroy James, but they’ve been good enough to beat the likes of power conference teams Boston College, Providence and Oklahoma State.  Tonight they’ll head to Akron, Ohio, to face a Zips team in the midst of a 6-game winning streak of their own.  Akron has averaged nearly 80ppg during that stretch and will look to keep that up against an athletic, pressing Rams team.

Rhode Island opened as 1-point favorites at both CRIS and Pinnacle, and they are currently getting 61% of spread, 80% of moneyline and 66% of parlay and teaser bets.  But the line has pulled a John Kerry flip-flop!  At most sportsbooks, the Zips are now favored by 1-point, the likely result of some Steam in the market identified by Sports Insights Betting Systems.  We’ve seen Steam Moves come through from both Bet Jamaica (+1.9 Units) and CRIS (+9.3 Units).  You can still find value in this game as a pick ’em at a few books, including BetUS, BetPhoenix and Carib Sports.

Games to Watch (3-5-1)
Arkansas +14.5

Akron -110


It should be an exciting night of college action in the sports marketplace.  Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.

We’ll be back next week with a new college basketball edition of Sports Marketwatch.

Enjoy the games!

The Team at