NCAAF Bowl Season 70/30 Betting System

The 2011-12 Bowl Season begins Saturday when the New Mexico Bowl kicks off at 2 p.m. ET. Due to increased public attention, bowl games provide opportunities for contrarian bettors to find extra value when betting against the public.

Looking at all bowl games over the previous three seasons, 16 games saw the favored team receive 70% or more spread bets.

In these games, the underdog (team receiving 30% or fewer spread bets) went 11-5 against the spread (ATS), for a winning percentage of 68.8%.

The tables below show a season-by-season breakdown of these games.

2010-11 Bowl Season

Date Teams Spread % Closing Line Score Win/Loss ATS
12/22/10 Utah 28% +15.5 3 Loss
Boise St 72% -15.5 26
12/29/10 Arizona 23% +4.5 10 Loss
Oklahoma St 77% -4.5 36
12/30/10 Army 24% +7 16 Win
SMU 76% -7 14
12/30/10 Washington 25% +11.5 19 Win
Nebraska 75% -11.5 7
12/31/10 Florida St 28% +2 26 Win
South Carolina 72% -2 17
1/9/11 Boston College 28% +7.5 13 Win
Nevada 72% -7.5 20

2009-10 Bowl Season

Date Teams Spread % Closing Line Score Win/Loss ATS
12/20/09 Mid Tenn St 30% +3.5 42 Win
So Mississippi 70% -3.5 32
12/26/09 Ohio 70% -3 17 Win
Marshall 30% +3 21

 

2008-09 Bowl Season

Date Teams Spread % Closing Line Score Win/Loss ATS
12/21/08 Troy 75% -4.5 27 Win
So Mississippi 25% +4.5 30
12/26/08 Florida Atlantic 26% +7 24 Win
Central Michigan 74% -7 21
12/28/08 No Illinois 30% +2.5 10 Loss
Louisiana Tech 70% -2.5 17
12/30/08 Western Michigan 30% +2.5 14 Loss
Rice 70% -2.5 38
12/31/08 Boston College 74% -5 14 Win
Vanderbilt 26% +5 16
1/1/2009 Michigan St 28% +9 10 Loss
Georgia 72% -9 24
1/2/2009 Utah 27% +9.5 31 Win
Alabama 73% -9.5 17
1/2/2009 Mississippi 30% +3.5 47 Win
Texas Tech 70% -3.5 34

* Public Betting Percentages reflect Sports Insights’ College Football Betting Trends.
** Pinnacles’ lines were used to determine ATS records.

There are currently 10 Bowl games that fit this system, so be sure to check your Live Odds Page often for real-time betting trends updates and College Football 70/30 Betting System opportunities.

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