Boston Bruins 2011-12 Pounding the Public

  • Historically, the public likes betting on good teams and there is often carryover between seasons, whether or not it is deserved. For example, in 2011, the Boston Bruins won their first Stanley Cup title since 1972.

As a result, the Bruins have been a favorite of the betting public so far in 2011.

Through eleven games, Boston has been a public underdog, in terms of moneyline betting trends, only once. More importantly, fading the Bruins has been very profitable for those following a contrarian betting system.

In seven games this season, Boston’s opponents have received fewer than 40% of moneyline wagers, six of which resulted in Bruins losses.

The table below shows how fading Boston, when receiving fewer than 40% of moneyline wagers, has performed this season :

Date Opponent Opponent ML %  Result Units Won/Loss
10/06 Flyers 32% W +1.12
10/10 Avalanche 26% W +1.92
10/12 Hurricanes 24% W +1.12
10/18 Hurricanes 34% W +1.37
10/20 Maple Leafs 35% L -1.00
10/22 Sharks 39% W +1.20
10/27 Canadiens 32% W +1.73
Overall 6-1 +7.46

* All moneyline betting percentages represent Sports Insights’ closing NHL Betting Trends data.
** Pinnacle’s closing moneylines were used to determine units won/lost.

In 2011, betting against Boston, when they’re receiving fewer than 40% of moneyline wagers, has produced a profit of 7.46 units.

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