The St. Louis Rams and the Value of Late Season Home Dogs

Recently in our series of Bet Sharp articles, we re-examined a 2003 article by Richard Borghesi entitled Price Predictability: Insights from the NFL Point Spread. Borghesi’s paper revealed that home underdogs are extremely undervalued in weeks 15-17, and our data confirmed this trend. In fact, our records indicated that this trend had only strengthened since that…

Thursday Night Football Betting Trends: Browns vs. Steelers

The Pittsburgh Steelers opened as a 13.5 point favorite at the market-setting Cris sportsbook and, according to Sports Insights’ NFL Betting Trends, is currently receiving 72% of all spread bets. This disproportionate betting percentage moved the line to a key number at -14 as of Thursday afternoon. One factor to monitor in this game is the…

NFL Week 1 – Early Line Moves of Interest (Part 2)

1. Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears The betting public is hammering the Falcons, with 79% of spread bets taking the road favorites. Both CRIS and Pinnacle opened Atlanta as a 1-point favorite in this game, but have moved the line to -2.5 to offset the influx of early public money. Team # Bets Spread Current Open Atlanta Falcons…