1/12/2010 5:00 PM EST
By The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the NBA edition of Sports Marketwatch, where the Team at Sports Insights gives sports fans an unprecedented glimpse into the NBA point-spread marketplace. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch.
The staff at SportsInsights.com analyzes the marketplace to identify which games the public is chasing and which ones the sharps are pounding. Let’s take a look at what’s in store for tonight’s NBA games.
Sports Marketplace – NBA Edition
Recapping Last Week
Marketwatch took a punch to the gut last week when we took the Phoenix Suns (-2) to beat the Knicks. Amare Stoudemire made his return to Phoenix, and helped the Knicks blowout the Suns by 25 points.
2010-11 NBA Games to Watch: 1-2 (33%)*
Milwauke Bucks (+4) over San Antonio Spurs
The San Antonio Spurs have had an impressive start to the NBA season, posting a league-best 32-6 record.
Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks are 14-21 this season, although they do have a respectable 8-8 record at home. Brandon Jennings is still out with a foot injury, but the Bucks’ center Andrew Bogut is expected to play after suffering from an illness earlier this week.
Milwaukee opened as a 3.5-point dog at CRIS and is only receiving 12% of spread bets. Even though the vast majority of the bets have come down on the Spurs, the line at CRIS has dropped half a point towards the Bucks. This reverse-line movement has triggered two Smart Money Plays and a CRIS Steam Move (133-109 +11.9 units) on the home dog.
This is a classic example of buying a team at a low, and selling a team at a high, in regards to how the public perceives both teams. The low betting percentage on the Bucks could also make them an NBA Square Play, which are currently 46-30 (+12.5 units) on the season.
Milwaukee Bucks +4 (Bet at SIA +4)
Games to Watch: 1-2
Milwaukee Bucks +4
It should be an exciting night in the sports marketplace. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back next week with another edition of Sports Marketwatch – NBA Edition.
Enjoy the games!