MLB Marketwatch Edition 3 2010

Sports Marketwatch
MLB Edition 
4/20/2010 5:00 PM EST
By The Team at SportsInsights.com

Welcome to the 2010 edition of MLB Sports Marketwatch, where the Team at SportsInsights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the sports marketplace. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch! Sports MarketWatch will be published every Tuesday, around 5PM Eastern Time.

This week, we’d like to highlight a special new release from the braintrust here at Sports Insights.  Founder and President Daniel Fabrizio, in conjunction with long-time contributors Joseph Hunter and Carlton Chin, have published a book entitled Sports Investing: Profiting from Point Spreads.  It offers tested tactics and strategies to turn your ventures in the sports betting marketplace from a gut-feel gamble to an intelligent investment approach.  Click here to order your copy today!

Sports Marketplace – MLB Edition

Marketwatch has a little early momentum this baseball season after last week’s exciting hit on the Reds.  Cincinnati won its second consecutive extra-inning game against the Marlins as Joey Votto singled in what proved to be the winning run in the Top of the 11th inning.  It was icing on the cake of a 3-for-5 day with two doubles and a nice plus-money hit to keep us rolling.

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2010 MLB Games to Watch: 2-1, 66.7%, +1.45 units 
*Source: SportsInsights.com

Sports MarketWatch – MLB Games to Watch

Detroit Tigers +120 over Los Angeles Angels

After a disappointing stretch to open the season that included series losses to both the Twins and Athletics, the Angels have turned things around nicely.  Over the weekend, they swept three games in Toronto and returned home last night in time for Joel Pineiro to throw 7.1 shutout innings against the Tigers en route to a 2-0 win.  Detroit has lost 4 of their last 5 and dropped consecutive series against the Royals and Mariners.  Rick Porcello, who had such a promising first season with 14 wins as a 20-year-old, has been somewhat inefficient in 2 starts this season, but he faces a Scott Kazmir recently off the disabled list and with only a shelling against the Yankees to his credit.

The Angels opened as -135 favorites at Olympic and their hot streak has not gone unnoticed to the Public.  They’re currently getting 52% of moneyline bets, as well as 73% of runline and 63% of parlay wagers.  In spite of this, the line has dropped to Los Angeles -127 at Olympic and even lower at a number of other books.  We’ve seen a couple of good plays on Detroit, including a 5Dimes Steam Move (+6 Units Won).  We don’t mind making a contrarian play on a team projected to be among the AL’s best.

Detroit +120 (SIA)

St. Louis Cardinals +141 over Arizona Diamondbacks

The Cardinals were also tabbed as an elite team in the preseason, largely due to retaining Matt Holliday and taking on Mark McGwire as hitting coach.  Well, no, they’re just a very talented team.  But Dan Haren is also talented, and he has become a high-profile name over the last couple of years to more than just fantasy baseball buffs.  He finished last season with a 3.14 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 223 strikeouts.  He’ll be more than in need tonight, as the Diamondbacks look to put a stop to a 5-game losing streak.  Kyle Lohse will face off with Haren, coming off a hard-luck loss at the Astros last week.

Arizona opened as -150 favorites at Olympic and have garnered 61% of Public spread bets and 64% of runline bets.  A whopping 79% of the Public is also expecting this game to go Under 8.5 runs, emphasizing their faith in Haren as an ace to shut down all comers.  The lines have stayed relatively stable, dropping slightly to D’Backs -147 at Olympic.  We’ve seen a slightly positive Smart Money play on the Cardinals from Canbet (+0.91 Units) but would feel fine taking this game without it.  Value on Pujols & Co. is going to be a hard thing to come by this season, and it’s likely going to only be available early on.  Go grab the redbirds and let’s watch Albert hit some bombs in the desert.

St. Louis +141 (Matchbook)

Games to Watch (2-1, +1.45 units)
Detroit +120
St. Louis +141

It should be another exciting night in the sports marketplace.  Keep Sports MarketWatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back Tuesday with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch – MLB Edition.

Enjoy the games!
The Team at SportsInsights.com