- Sports Marketwatch
6/3/2011 5:00 PM EST
By The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the MLB Edition of Sports Marketwatch, where the Team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the sports betting marketplace. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch!
The staff at Sports Insights analyzes the MLB marketplace to identify which games the public is chasing and which ones the sharps are pounding. Let’s take a look at what game we are highlighting tonight.
Sports Marketplace – MLB Edition
Recapping Last Week
Marketwatch took a loss in our last edition after the Phillies broke a 3-3 tie with three runs in the Top of the 9th inning, en route to a 6-4 win over the Mets.
2011 MLB Games to Watch: 6-3, 67%, +3.94 units
New York Mets +100 over Atlanta Braves
New York currently sits eight games behind division-leading Philadelphia and hopes a strong performance from starter Jonathon Niese (4-5, 3.92 ERA) will help spark a run to the top of the NL East.
Division-rival Atlanta will counter with Derek Lowe (3-4, 4.03 ERA) who has struggled in his last eight starts, posting a 1-2 record and 5.31 ERA over that span.
Atlanta opened as a -115 favorite at Pinnacle and is currently receiving 71% of all moneyline wagers. Despite the lopsided betting percentages, the line has dropped to -104.
This reverse-line movement suggests sharp money has taken the Mets and Sports Insights’ Betting Systems agree. A Steam Move at Pinnacle (+25.84 units) was triggered on New York, indicating there is value on the home underdog.
Due to the one-sided betting, this game is also a MLB Square Play candidate, a Betting System that is +25.3 units on the season.
At the time of publication, two sportsbooks were offering New York at +100, so we’ll shop for the best line, bet against the public and grab the Mets as a slight home underdog.
Games to Watch (6-3, +3.94 units)
New York Mets +100
It should be another exciting night in the sports marketplace. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back next week with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch – MLB Edition.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at SportsInsights.com