Weekend Sports Update

The last two Final Four spots in the NCAA Men’s Tournament will be settled on Sunday, as we’ll take a quick look at today’s March Madness games along with other happenings in the sports marketplace.  First, in today’s NCAA basketball games: Baylor has had a nice run through the tournament as a #3 seed; however,…

How Much is an MVP Worth? A Lesson on Overvaluing Superstars

Although most sports fans are in NCAA tournament mode with no regard for other sports, there is a valuable lesson to take away from last night’s NBA game between title-favorites Miami and Chicago. In this game the hometown Bulls opened as 2.5-point favorites at the market-setting Cris sportsbook and, according to Sports Insights’ NBA Betting Trends,…

NHL Betting Trends: Dallas Stars vs. San Jose Sharks

The San Jose Sharks opened as a -200 favorite at the market-setting Cris sportsbook and, according to Sports Insights’ NHL Betting Trends, is currently receiving 80% of moneyline wagers. This one-sided betting percentage has pushed the line to -210. In our pre-season NHL Betting Against the Public article, we detailed the sweet spots for contrarian betting. Between…

NHL Betting Against the Public: Road Teams Under 25%

As detailed in our 2011 NHL Betting Against the Public article, our historical data has found a terrific return on investment betting against the public — specifically on teams receiving less than 35% of moneyline wagers. That same article also revealed that visiting teams are undervalued, so what happens when we combine these two philosophies?…