Sports Betting Blog

Last week in this space we utilized our bracket simulator predictions to determine which schools were offering value in the futures market. By converting each school’s championship futures into an implied probability, we were able to find four schools with a positive expected value: Villanova (+1250), Virginia (+575), Gonzaga (+2200) and Iowa State (+2800). Although all four…

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This year’s Final Four consists of #2-Villanova vs. #2-Oklahoma and #10-Syracuse vs. #1-North Carolina. Syracuse is by far the biggest surprise, as they were 30:1 to win their region prior to the tournament and pulled off the second-largest upset (+374 moneyline) in the Elite 8 that we’ve tracked. They even reached +1600 on the live moneyline against…

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Throughout the past NFL season, our weekly Line Moves That Matter articles would highlight the most interesting line moves at the market-setting offshore sportsbooks — typically CRIS and Pinnacle which take the highest limits and therefore attract the sharpest bettors. By contrasting the opening and current lines with the public betting trends from our seven contributing…

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