Sports Betting Blog

A successful contrarian bettor typically questions conventional wisdom, and challenges widely-held beliefs. Sportsbooks are excellent at predicting where they’re going to get action each week, and they shade their lines accordingly. These shaded lines create additional value for bettors who dare to go against the grain and take an unpopular viewpoint. Squares — or casual…

Continue Reading →

Last week in this space we utilized our bracket simulator predictions to determine which schools were offering value in the futures market. By converting each school’s championship futures into an implied probability, we were able to find three schools with a positive expected value: West Virginia (+3000), Texas A&M (+4000) and Virginia (+1200). Although West…

Continue Reading →