NBA Teams of Interest
NBA Teams of Interest
A SportsInsights.com Exclusive
Welcome to the inaugural edition of SportsInsight's "NBA Teams of Interest"
article! Each week, we're going to take a look at a few teams around The
Association that we think deserve extra consideration. We will not be giving
picks; however, we believe this information can help the prudent bettor looking
for that extra bit of information to help them make a more informed decision on
upcoming games. We welcome your feedback - please direct any comments to
chris@sportsinsights.com.
Golden State
We are big fans of Golden State right now, and
not just because Monta Ellis is finally seeing the court this season. The fact
that Ellis hadn’t played a game until Friday means that key role players like
Kelenna Azubuike, Marco Belinelli and Anthony Morrow have had the opportunity to
gain valuable experience and improve their games. Once Jamal Crawford returns to
action (questionable for Wednesday), the Warriors will boast one of the best
Starting 5 + 1 in the league. Don’t believe us? Check it out:
G Jamal Crawford (20.4 PPG)
G Monta Ellis (20.2 PPG last year)
F Stephen Jackson (19.8 PPG)
F Corey Maggette (19.7 PPG)
C Andris Biedrins (13.5 PPG, 12.1 RPG [2nd
in NBA])
B1 Kelenna Azubuike (13.8 PPG)
That’s a lot of scoring, no matter how you cut
it. It’s not a lot of defense, however, but they should be outscoring most
opponents regardless. We think there is value in Golden State, and although
sportsbooks will be sure to take Ellis’ return into account when setting lines,
we still think the Warriors are a better team than the public believe them to be
and could go on a nice run. In addition, they have the type of players
that can put up 10 points in about one minute, making them a nice team to back
as an underdog as they are sure to pour in points, even late in games when
trailing by large margins. The Warriors are 21-24 against the spread
season-to-date, but look for that trend to reverse in the second half of the
season.
Philadelphia 76ers
The return of Elton Brand is a situation we
wanted to touch on because it is sure to have repercussions in the sports
betting marketplace. Brand is undoubtedly a great player, having consistently
averaged about 20 points and 10 rebounds while playing for the terrible L.A.
Clippers. However, it has become apparent that Brand’s game just doesn’t
translate very well to the 76ers, whose up-tempo offense operates much better
when the athletic Andre Igoudala is the alpha dog. Philadelphia has performed
much better in the “run-n-gun” offense, which they’ve played while Brand has
been out, than in the halfcourt offense they were running when Brand was
healthy. There are two ways to look at the inevitable return of Brand: either
they return to the methodical halfcourt offense, resulting in lower points
scored, or they try to integrate Brand into the fast-paced style of play they’ve
been featuring in his absence.
Many people are thinking themselves to be
clever by planning to downgrade the 76ers upon Brand’s return. If you are one of
those people, with plans to fade the 76ers and bet heavily on the Under, then we
advise you to think twice. Players like Andre Miller have been quoted as saying
they aren’t worried about integrating Brand into the new offense, and that his
injury has actually given him the opportunity to study the offense in action and
learn how the 76ers like to push the ball on offense and force turnovers on
defense. You can bet that Brand, having spent all those years on the wrong side
of La La Land, is more interested in winning than padding his own statistics. We
see the 76ers continuing to play an up-tempo game and we think that Brand will
acclimate well to the change. The 76ers are a better team than they’ve shown so
far this year, so expect a big improvement in the second half as all the pieces
begin to come together. Keep an eye on the 76ers as they may actually be less
favored moving forward than in Brand's absence and their O/U line is likely to
drop as well, presenting value if you agree with our analysis.
The information on this site is for entertainment and
educational purposes only. Use of this information in violation of any federal,
state, or local laws is prohibited.