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SportsInsights.com Primer - SureBets and MOPs (Middling Opportunity
Plays)
SportsInsights.com is pleased to present additional sports investment opportunities
to our Premium Pro Members. SureBets and MOPS (Middling Opportunity Plays)
offer unique sports arbitrage plays that can supplement your regular sports investing
and handicapping "portfolio." SureBets are arbitrage opportunities
that guarantee a small investment return and arise when the lines and/or pricing
-- differs between various sportsbooks.
MOPs are a similar type of investment in that they take advantage of mis-pricings
between different sportsbooks. Note, however, that the risk/return distribution
is different for SureBets and MOPs. A SureBet wins a small, but guaranteed,
amount on each play. On the other hand, most MOPs will result in a small loss
of vig. However, when a MOP "connects" (potentially 2-7% of the
time), you will win one of both sides of the MOP (and potentially your entire MOP
investment). SportsInsights.com's MOP service selects only plays with long-term
positive rate of return. The information on this site is for entertainment
and educational purposes only. Use of this information in violation of any federal,
state, or local laws is prohibited.
Pros and Cons
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SureBets are guaranteed winners; however, you win a relatively small amount for
the capital you invest.
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SureBets and MOPS are selected automatically by SportsInsights.com's computers,
based on our live sportsbook line feeds.
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Selections are based on pre-determined profit levels and can supplement and diversify
your sports investing and handicapping.
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Our SureBets and MOPs feature take some of the tedious work out of arbitrage --
but they still take some computer "face time." You must be
available to receive the SureBet alert -- and get the play in ASAP!
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SportsInsights.com's SureBet feature allows you to select the minimum level of ROI
that triggers a SureBet.
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SportsInsights.com's SureBet and MOP features have been developed by sports investors
who actually use them!
What You Need
In order to succeed using SureBets and MOPs, you'll need at least some of the following:
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Multiple Sportsbooks: You will be placing a combination of "hedged"
or offsetting bets at two different sportsbooks. Based on our experience,
the following combination of sportsbooks seems to offer the most SureBet opportunities:
Pinnacle, Bowmans, Oasis, ABC, SIA, and BetUS.
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Patience: If you need the "action" or "thrill" that a
regular bet gives you, arbitrage might not be for you. If you like the idea
of a guaranteed return on your investment, although relatively small, a SureBet
might be what you are looking for.
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Capital: Many SureBet opportunities will offer a 1%-2% return on investment
(ROI). If you normally bet $20 on a game, a SureBet of about $20 on each side
of the SureBet ($40 investment) will result in only $0.40 to $0.80. This may
not be worthwhile for some investors. However, if you have more capital (perhaps
normally betting $200 or more on a game) and are willing to invest even more for
a SureBet, you might be able to $10-$30, or more, on each SureBet. A few SureBets
per day, every day, can then add up to some real money over time.
Example
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A typical SureBet will have two plays, and look something like this:
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Bet $116.67 on Team A at -140 at Sportbook X
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Bet $80.97 on Team B at +147 at Sportbook Y
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Return on investment 1.18%
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Note that NO MATTER which team wins, you will be guaranteed the listed percentage
investment return. That is if Team A OR Team B wins, you will win enough to
cover BOTH legs of the investment PLUS a small profit.
Be Wary of...
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One Side Getting Cancelled: Some sportsbooks may void bets if their line
looks clearly "out of line" or "in error." This leaves
you at risk on the other side of the SureBet. You should be aware that these
situations arise -- and be prepared to cover the other leg of the SureBet play (unless
you really like the single play you still have outstanding).
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Tip: if the expected ROI looks higher than normal, be especially wary of a
line "cancellation."
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Line Moves before you get one leg of the SureBet down: Sometimes, the
lines move quickly and they can reduce or eliminate your profit opportunity.
Again, you should cover all or part of the other side of the SureBet play.
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Different Maximums: be aware of the "maximum bet size" at
various sportsbooks. You don't want to place a large bet at one book -- and
then realize that the offsetting book has a maximum of $100 on that type of bet.
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Being ID'd: You may want to avoid being identified as a SureBet arbitrageur.
Most sportsbooks don't want their players to profit. If you are identified
as a SureBet arbitrageur, your bet size may be capped. Don't bet at that book's
maximum. Bet in whole dollars. And avoid betting on that same game at
that same sportsbook.
The Need for Speed!
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Sportsbooks are constantly adjusting their lines. Arbitrage opportunities
come and go. Our SureBets service alerts our Members when an arbitrage opportunity
exists -- but the opportunity may not last very long.
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Other arbitrageurs and bettors will tend to reduce the potential return of SureBets.
Get your SureBets in fast!
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A Broadband connection will help you to get your SureBets down faster.
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Tip: Have multiple browsers open and logged in to your various sportsbooks.
Sportsbook Balances, Transfers and Other Considerations
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You will need to make offsetting plays at different sportsbooks. Thus, you
need to be aware of the balances at each of your sportsbooks and your Neteller (or
other similar type) account.
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The computations for SureBets' ROI do not include any fees for transferring funds
amongst your sportsbooks. Most sportsbooks allow at least one FREE transfer
out of the sportsbook per month - but SureBet investors, in particular, should be
aware of all of their expenses.
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Note that the terms and conditions of "Bonuses" differ at various sportsbooks.
Some of your funds may be "tied up" at some sportsbooks until the rollover
conditions are completed.
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Tip: Constantly monitor your balances at your sportsbooks. You don't want
to transfer funds in the middle of your SureBet transaction because it may no longer
be available.
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SureBets and MOPs will have relatively large amounts of funds being won and lost
amongst sportsbooks. Tip: Keep accurate records and check your balances in
TOTAL regularly to ensure these arbitrage methods are working the way you expect.
Some Specifics on MOPs
MOPs, or Middling Opportunity Plays, are a combination of bets that are available
only on spreads or totals (not on moneylines). We typically take offsetting
positions at two different sportsbooks. One example might be -- taking OVER
46 points and UNDER 48 -- and hoping the outcome will land somewhere in the MIDDLE.
MOPs often result in a small loss of vig. However, when a MOP "connects"
(potentially 2-7% of the time), you will win one of both sides of the MOP (potentially
your entire investment).
Example of a MOP
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Another example of a MOP:
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In most cases, you will win one side of the MOP and lose the other side of the MOP
-- thus ALMOST breaking even. You will lose a small amount, equivalent to
the vigorish. However, in some cases, you will win one of the MOP's bets
-- and PUSH on the other side (in this case, if Team B wins by exactly 3).
Our MOPs have been carefully pre-selected to yield a certain pre-determined long-term
positive rate of return.
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