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Sports Marketwatch -
College Football Edition
NCAA Football - National Championship Edition
1/6/2010
by The Team
at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the
2009-10 edition of
NCAA
Football Marketwatch . The team at Sports
Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NCAA Football
point-spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the
sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch!
Every week we speak directly with the line managers at some of the sports
betting industry’s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing
and the Sharps are pounding. Let's take a look at what’s in store for this week
in College Football.
Click here to have every Sports MarketWatch sent directly to your inbox
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Sports Marketwatch – National Championship Edition
Recapping Bowl Edition IV
Marketwatch struggled to a 1-2 record in this season's second to last
edition of NCAA Football Marketwatch. With under one minute to play, Penn State
kicked a game-winning 21-yard field goal, beating LSU, and the spread, by two.
Our final two games were both tied in the third quarter, before turnovers
derailed any chances Northern Illinois and Oklahoma State had of winning, and
beating the spread.
Regular Season Record = 24-18-1 (57.1%)
Bowl Record = 4-3 (57.1%)
Warning to all new readers of the
NCAA Football Sports Marketwatch column: in
order to follow our selections, you’ll need ice running through your veins. Be
prepared to take up meditation or acupuncture to calm the nerves. The goal of
this weekly column is to highlight games that offer true “line value.” Often, if
a line looks too go to be true, there is a reason. The underlining theme every
week is line value. You’ll occasionally need the worst teams on the board to
come through. We typically buy on bad news and sell on good.
NCAA Sports MarketWatch – Games to Watch
Texas
vs. Alabama
(1/7 - 8:35 pm EST)
After being left out of last year's
BCS National Championship game in favor of Oklahoma (a team Texas beat by 10
points during the regular season), the Longhorns ran the table this season, won the
Big XII Championship, and now have their shot at the title. Alabama also comes
into this matchup undefeated, including their 32-13 dismantling of previously #1-ranked Florida in
the SEC Championship game.
Alabama opened as a 5.5-point favorite at Pinnacle and, coming off their blowout
of Florida, are currently receiving 67% of spread bets. Even though the public
is solidly behind the Crimson Tide, the line has shrunk to -3.5 at Pinnacle,
suggesting sharp money is coming down on Texas. SportsInsights' Betting Systems
agree, triggering eight positive Smart Money Plays on Texas, including one at
Cata/VegasVic (+17.26 units), our #1 ranked sportsbook. For the final time this
season, we're following the sharps, fading the public and taking the Longhorns
and the points.
Texas +4.5 (Bodog)
So, here’s a wrap-up
of SportsInsights' analysis of this week’s Games to Watch.
Games to Watch (28-21-1)
Texas +4.5 (Bodog)
It should be another exciting week of NCAA Football. Keep Sports Marketwatch
Games to Watch picks handy and your browser pointed to
SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time
updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back next Friday
with the new edition of the NCAA Football Sports
Marketwatch.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at Sports Insights
SportsInsights.com
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