SportsInsights

Sports Marketplace – NBA Edition

Recapping Last Week’s NBA Action

Last Friday, the NBA Sports Marketwatch swept the board, going 3-0. Indiana and Washington won their games outright, wile Sacramento stayed close enough to grab the cover. Our Sports Marketwatch philosophy of “value sports investing” should keep us on the profitable side in the long-run.

2007-08 NBA Games to Watch: 10-10-1 = 50.0%

*Source: SportsInsights.com

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Sports Marketwatch 3/7/08 – Games to Watch

Denver Nuggets -2 over San Antonio Spurs

Our sports industry contacts tell us that “smart money” is taking the Nuggets at home in this marquee matchup. SportsInsights’ sports data verifies this market action. At the time of this writing, about 40% of the bets are coming in on Denver (including Teasers and Parlays). Even so, the line has moved from Denver -1.5 to Denver -2.5. There are still some -2’s out there; grab it while you can.

San Antonio has won eleven straight games and is tied with Detroit for the second fewest losses in the league. Denver has won just 5 of its last 10 – so we like buying Denver at a “recent low” and selling San Antonio at a “high.” The Nuggets are a solid 24-7 at home! Give the points and take Denver at home.

Denver Nuggets -2

Miami Heat +5.5 over Golden State Warriors

Miami remains the worst team in the league, winning at a measly 0.190 winning percentage. Golden State is a solid .600 team in the playoff hunt. “Joe Public” hates the “ugly teams” and this creates value for the “sports investor.”

At the time of this writing, Miami was gathering less than 15% (!!) of the bets on this game. This is creating value. The line opened at Miami +4.5 (at home) – but the steady barrage of bets has pushed the line to Miami +5.5. This will be one of those “ugly bets” you hate to take, but oftentimes, the “ugly ducklings” hang around long enough to capture the bread. Take your time getting this bet down; the line may climb even higher.

Miami Heat  +6 (Bet at SportsInteraction.com)

Chicago Bulls +11.5 over Boston Celtics

Our previous selection (Miami +5.5) goes with the worst team in the league to beat a solid team against the spread. In this selection, we pick the Chicago Bulls to beat the spread versus the best team in the league. Our mantra remains “value in the sports investing” arena and we believe that these types of selections have some built-in value.

Who would normally want to take the worst team in the league? Or bet against the best team in the league? This is true – and SportsInsights’ betting percentages are great at highlighting these public perceptions. In this matchup, more than two-thirds of the bets are coming in on the high-flying Celtics. This creates value on “betting against the public.” Take the Bulls and double-digit points.

Chicago Bulls +11.5

Games to Watch: 10-10-1 = 50.0%
Denver Nuggets -2
Miami Heat +6 (Bet at SportsInteraction.com)
Chicago Bulls +11.5

It should be another exciting weekend in the sports marketplace. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.

We’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch – NBA Edition.

Enjoy the games!

The Team at SportsInsights.com