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Sports Marketwatch
NBA Edition
1/18/2008 4:45 PM EST
By The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to this week's edition of the Sports Marketwatch – NBA
Edition, where the Team at SportsInsights gives sports fans
unprecedented insight into the NBA point-spread marketplace. If
you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the
sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports
Marketplace! Initially, the NBA Edition of the Sports
Marketwatch will be a weekly column published on Friday,
normally by around 5PM, Eastern Time.
The staff at SportsInsights.com speaks directly with the line
managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest
sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and the
Sharps are pounding. We’ll take a look at what’s in store for
today’s NBA games.
Sports Marketplace – NBA
Edition
Recapping Last Week’s NBA Action
In last Friday’s edition, we took
Washington +3, Minny +11 and Seattle +9. As we thought, the
Wash-Atl game was a “barn-burner.” Wash led most of the game,
before giving up the lead late in the game – but held on for the
win (in OT) and cover.
“Ugly Minny” stayed ugly and got blown out
by Houston. We “seek” value and should profit in the
long-term. However, there will sometimes be ugly blowouts like
Minny’s 30 point loss. These blowouts help “skew” the
numbers so that the point spreads and averages “make sense” –
but that there is often value on taking dogs. Seattle
also failed to cover, so the NBA MarketWatch underperformed,
going 1-2.
2007-08 NBA
Games to Watch: 2-3-0 = 40%
*Source:
SportsInsights.com
NBA Sports
Marketwatch 1/18/07 – Games to Watch
Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics
Our sportsbook
contacts confirm “smart money” getting down on the 76ers. This
agrees with SportsInsights’ exclusive sports information that
shows that with only 1 in 3 bets on Philly, the line has
actually moved from Boston -12.5 to Boston -10.5.
The Celtics have
cooled off a bit while the 76ers have beaten the spread in two
straight. There is some big money coming in on Philly and
we’ll join the “sharps” on this “live dog.”
Philadelphia
76ers +11 (SportsInteraction)
Seattle
SuperSonics vs. Memphis Grizzlies
MarketWatch also
sees value on the Seattle SuperSonics. Seattle is receiving
just 33% of the bets and the line has moved from Memphis -5.5 to
Memphis -6.5. These teams have almost identical records,
winning just 25% of their games - and are entrenched near the
bottom of their respective divisions.
Memphis has lost
five in a row while Seattle has lost eight in a row. This is
truly a “battle of the basement-dwellers.” This game should be
“up for grabs” and we see it difficult for Memphis to cover the
6.5 points. Take Seattle and the points for a good “value
play.”
Seattle
SuperSonics +6.5
LA Clippers
vs. Utah Jazz
Early “sharp
action” on the LA Clippers has pushed the line from Utah -11.5
down to Utah -9.5. The percentage of bets is about evenly split
– but as our readers know, we like to be on the side of the
“smart money.”
Utah has played
great at home so far this year, but they are just barely better
than a .500 team. The line is inflated a bit due to Utah’s home
record (which we will “sell on a high”). We see value (as do
the “sharps”) on the Clippers plus double-digit points. There
are still some +10’s out there, and we’re taking that while it’s
still there.
LA Clippers
+10
So, here’s a
wrap-up of SportsInsights.com analysis for this week’s Games
to Watch for the NBA.
Games to Watch
(2-3-0)
Philadelphia 76ers
+11 (SportsInteraction)
Seattle SuperSonics
+6.5
LA Clippers +10
It should be another exciting weekend in the sports marketplace.
Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to
SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our
exclusive Sports Investing tools.
We’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of the Sports
Marketwatch – NBA Edition.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at SportsInsights.com
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