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SportsInsights.com Article -- NFL Power
Rankings by BettingCharts.com
Guest Article by Researchers at
BettingCharts.com
At
BettingCharts, we use a variety of tools to seek out value in
the sports marketplace. Over the past
few years, we have studied various indicators and stats
specifically for the NFL Playoffs.
Together, with our sister company, SportsInsights.com, we have
devised our own proprietary power rankings for the upcoming playoffs. Please note that although results have been good
over the past few years,
the sample size is not very meaningful.
Still, the power ratings and rankings are backed by good,
fundamental, reasoning -- and historical results have been
eye-catching.
Multiple
Factors
We have studied
a wealth of statistics and have keyed in on several indicators
that really seem to focus in on the "strength" of each of the
twelve playoff teams. By using the indicators that show
the most correlation with game results, we believe that the power rankings can help
you to obtain value versus the point spread during the NFL
Playoffs.
We believe this
multi-factor approach can help to uncover value as we combine
factors that give us an edge. What are some of the factors
that we study? Firstly, we look at the "micro-happenings" behind the wins and losses.
What kind of offense and defense are we talking about?
What are the "Points For" and "Points Against" for this team?
What kind of schedule did the team play? How was the
team's performance in "quality matchups?" We
used the results of our research to create a composite
rating which can be used to obtain value during the NFL
Playoffs.
NFL 2008 Playoff Team Power Rankings
Below are our Power Rankings for the 2008 NFL Playoffs.
How can you use these rankings? One easy-to-use method is to
pick the higher-ranked team versus
the spread. Some sports investors might want to make the
selection ONLY if the ranking differential is above a certain
amount. In either case, please use these rankings in
combination with other sports investing tools that you use -- or
that we mention below. Note that we have highlighted and
grouped the teams to separate this year's powerhouses --
from the contenders -- and pretenders.
| Ranking |
Team |
| 1 |
New England |
| 2 |
Green Bay |
| 3 |
Indianapolis |
| 4 |
Dallas |
| 5 |
Pittsburgh |
| 6 |
Jacksonville |
| 7 |
San Diego |
| 8 |
Tampa Bay |
| 9 |
Seattle |
| 10 |
Tennessee |
| 11 |
Washington |
| 12 |
NY Giants |
Betting Against the Public
& Smart Money Techniques
As the playoffs begin and the sport's top teams vie for the
championship, there is increased public interest. This
means increased betting activity by "Joe Public." We
believe that this presents an opportunity for astute sports
investors. Our members have said that "Betting Against the Public"
and "Smart
Money" techniques have worked even better in these "big
televised games." Using these methods, in combination with
other good handicapping strategies, can add good investment
value -- to an already great entertainment value (the
Playoffs!).
Summary and Other Research
Together, BettingCharts and SportsInsights have presented Power
Rankings for the 2006-2008 NFL Playoffs.
-
The Power
Rankings have been designed as a way to obtain value
during the NFL Playoffs.
-
Betting
Against the Public and Smart Money methods should be even
more effective during these nationally televised
games.
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In other research, it has been shown that
Home Field advantage
is magnified during the playoffs. Please check out
SportsInsights' article on
Academic Research in the NFL.
Good luck --
and enjoy the games!
About BettingCharts.com
BettingCharts
(BCs) is a sports research firm that focuses on statistical
methods and indicators to obtain value in the sports investment
marketplace.
- BCs has achieved consistently positive results,
especially when viewed over longer-term "sports-seasons."
- BCs' winning percentage is around 55-56% in most sports.
- BCs has posted even stronger results in "Totals."
- BCs research and selections are computerized,
consistent, and disciplined.
Disclaimer We do not guarantee that the trends and biases we’ve found will
continue to exist. It is impossible to predict the future. Any
serious academic research in the field of “market efficiencies”
recognizes that inefficiencies may disappear over time. Once
inefficiencies are discovered, it is only a matter of time
before the market corrects itself. We do not guarantee our data
is error-free. However, we’ve tried our best to make sure every
score and percentage is correct.
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