Sports Marketwatch – NHL Edition
1/6/2010 5:00 PM EST
by The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the 2010 NHL Sports Marketwatch, where the Team at SportsInsights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the sports marketplace. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch! Sports Marketwatch- NHL Edition will be published weekly on Wednesday, around 5PM Eastern Time.
Sports Marketplace – NHL Edition
We got back on the right track last week and ended 2009 with a win when the Canadiens defeated the Lightning in Tampa Bay. Brian Gionta put the Canadiens on the board first at 9:53 in the second period. A lightning goal by Jurtis Foster early in the third tied the game at one, and with a strong performance from Canadiens’ goalie Carey Price that is the way regulation would end. Tomas Plekanec scored the game winning goal in overtime on a 2-on-1 no-look shot at 3:32.
Hockey can be a very profitable sport to bet on when you base it off moneyline odds, especially when betting underdogs. The “plus odds” is a reason that NHL moneyline dogs can show value over time. Most people like to win – thus overvaluing winning teams. Our selections on moneyline underdogs will normally hit at less than 50%, but the “plus odds” payoff makes it a profitable investment.
2009 NHL Games to Watch: 7-4, 63.6%, +5.7 units*
Sports MarketWatch – NHL Games to Watch
Toronto Maple Leafs +165 over Philadelphia Flyers
We will be taking the Toronto Maple Leafs (15-19-9) to beat the Philadelphia Flyers (19-19-3) in the first of their four meetings this season. Both of these teams have been hanging around the bottom of the league this season and are currently sitting at 12th (Philadelphia) and 14th (Toronto). The Maple Leafs have hit a patch of injuries as of late, with Mike Komisarek, Wayne Primeau and Mikail Grabovski all leaving their game Saturday against Calgary. The Flyers, who have gone 4-4-2 in their past 10 games, had started to increase their level of play but have since leveled off with losses to Boston in the New Years Day Winter Classic and a 7-4 loss to Ottawa Sunday.
The Flyers opened at -175 at CRIS and has stayed strong at that number despite the public taking the Flyers in 71% of moneyline bets. With the line hanging around -175 at most book with little to no movement and such a large percentage going one way we will take that as a strong sign and take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline to beat the Flyers in tonight’s game.
Toronto Maple Leafs +165 (Cata/VegasVic)
Games to Watch (7-4, +5.7 units)
Toronto Maple Leafs +165
We are looking forward to another exciting night in the NHL, and the sports betting marketplace. Keep the Sports Marketwatch – NHL Edition picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back Wednesday with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch – NHL Edition.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at SportsInsights.com