Sports Marketwatch - Playoffs Edition
NFL
Week 20 - NFL Playoffs
1/18/2008 11:01 AM EST
by Daniel Fabrizio
SportsInsights.com
Welcome
to this week's edition of the Sports Marketwatch, where Daniel Fabrizio,
founder of SportsInsights.com, gives sports fans
unprecedented insight into the NFL point-spread market. If you ever wanted to
know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an
all-access pass with Sports Marketplace!
Every week he speaks directly
with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest
sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and the Sharps are pounding.
Dan takes a look at what’s in store for this week in the NFL.
Sports Marketwatch – NFL Week 20 – NFL
Playoffs
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NFL Playoffs - Games to Watch
The NFL Playoffs are a totally different animal than the NFL
Regular season. The amount of “Public” square bets skyrockets. The culmination
of this trend is the Super Bowl, the most wagered sporting event of the year.
Everyone, and their mother, wagers on the Super Bowl. From the casual
“box-office-pool” – to the professional sports bettor – to the Superbowl
commercials: everyone has some interest in the Superbowl.
For
value-minded sports investors, this massive influx of “Public” money means
opportunity. During the NFL Playoffs, odds makers heavily weigh Public opinion
when deciding on a game’s betting line. They’ll shade a line 2-3 pts knowing
that the Public will be heavily on one side. “Public Money” dwarfs the amount of
“Sharp Money” buying back the shaded lines.
San Diego Charges vs
New England Patriots
Our sportsbook contacts tell us that the
majority of bets are coming in on San Diego. The line opened at New England
–15.5 but the early heavy Public action on San Diego has caused a huge 2-point
move through the key number of 14.
SportsInsights’ exclusive betting percentages show that the
Public is on San Diego to the tune of almost 6 out of every 10 bets. San Diego
has had a great run but is now banged up a bit. We see good value on New England
–13.5 at home.
New England Patriots –13.5 (Bet at Sports Interaction -13.5)
Playoff Recap
New England Patriots –13.5 (Bet
at Sports Interaction -13.5)
It should be another exciting NFL Weekend. Keep Sports
Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.comm for the
latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.
I’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch.
Enjoy the games!
Daniel Fabrizio
President
SportsInsights.com