Sports Marketwatch - Early Moves Edition
NFL
Week 12
11/23/2007 11:01 AM EST
by Daniel Fabrizio
SportsInsights.com
Welcome
to this week's edition of the Sports Marketwatch, where Daniel Fabrizio,
founder of SportsInsights.com, gives sports fans
unprecedented insight into the NFL point-spread market. If you ever wanted to
know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an
all-access pass with Sports Marketplace!
Every week he speaks directly
with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest
sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and the Sharps are pounding.
Dan takes a look at what’s in store for this week in the NFL.
Sports Marketplace – NFL Week 12
Recapping Last
Week
All sportsbooks reported a positive Sunday for NFL Week 11. The
Public posted their tenth consecutive losing week. SportsInsights.com analysis
shows that in games with over 65% of the action on one side, the Public went
4-4-2. Remember when you factor in “the juice”, going .500 is losing. For the
season that makes the Public 34-44-8 = 43.6%. SportsInsights.com Games to Watch
analysis continued its positive momentum, going 2-0-1 last weekend. Overall,
that makes the Games to Watch column 21-10-2 = 67.7%.
Looking Ahead
to this Week
Look for handle sizes to remain strong in NFL Week 12 as
the Public attempts to cash in again on some over-matched teams. We anticipate
Seattle, New York Giants, New England, and Jacksonville to be the most
“lopsided-bet” games of the week. Visit SportsInsights.com to view LIVE wagering
statistics from multiple online sportsbooks.
NFL Week 12 Sports
Marketwatch – Games to Watch
New Orleans Saints vs
Carolina Panthers
This is an NFC South divisional rivalry
between two under performing teams (both 4-6) that are, amazingly enough, still
in the playoff picture. Carolina is a great value play as a +3 Home Dog.
Granted, Carolina is on a four game losing steak, but they get Steve Smith back
this week and they are coming off of one of their best offensive performances of
the year. Carolina has a talented squad that has endured its share of injuries.
Look for some home cooking to help Carolina get healthy and back on
track.
Carolina Panthers +3
So, here’s a wrap-up of
SportsInsights.com analysis for this week’s Games to Watch for NFL Week
12.
Games to Watch (21-10-2)
Carolina Panthers +3
It should be another exciting NFL Weekend. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks
handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the
latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.
I’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch.
Enjoy the games!
Daniel Fabrizio
President
SportsInsights.com